Aleksa
Djurasovic
DMSerbia · Akron Tolyatti
Player dossierPremier Liga
AleksaDjurasovic
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Akron Tolyatti
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Serbia
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Premier LigaReading the valuation
The market values Djurasovic at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Djurasovic during training, estimates €945k: the market value is 59% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.59. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 52
- Minutes
- 3,638
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 42/52
- Min / app
- 70
- Cards
- 4Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Djurasovic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
81% this player69% midfielder median71st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- Dec 2020
- Peak
- €2M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €1.5M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 14
- 1 club change
May 2026: €1.5M, Akron Tolyatti. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-12-22 | €200k | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2021-06-12 | €250k | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2021-12-25 | €250k | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2022-06-26 | €250k | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2022-11-18 | €350k | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2023-06-22 | €700k | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2023-09-25 | €1M | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2023-12-27 | €1.5M | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2024-03-15 | €1.8M | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2024-06-10 | €1.8M | FK Spartak Subotica |
| 2024-12-12 | €1.8M | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2025-06-04 | €2M | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2025-12-16 | €1.5M | Akron Tolyatti |
| 2026-05-26 | €1.5M | Akron Tolyatti |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.462
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 57% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 39% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Djurasovic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- JubalCBFC Krasnodar · Premier Liga€1.5M
- RamírezLBLokomotiv Moscow · Premier Liga€1.5M
- ChernovCBKrylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga€1.5M
- LantratovGKLokomotiv Moscow · Premier Liga€1.5M
- HofmannAMBayer 04 Leverkusen · midfielders€1.5M
- AyhanDMGalatasaray · midfielders€1.5M
- PraetCMRoyal Antwerp FC · midfielders€1.5M
- NielsenCMStandard Liège · midfielders€1.5M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).