Yan
Couto
RBBrazil · Borussia Dortmund
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
YanCouto
RBRight-BackDefender
- Club
- Borussia Dortmund
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Brazil
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 168 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Couto at €17M. Model A, which never saw Couto during training, estimates €13.6M: the market value is 25% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €7.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 62
- Minutes
- 2,896
- Goals
- 3
- Assists
- 4
- Started
- 29/62
- Min / app
- 47
- Cards
- 13Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Couto…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €17M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
31% this player0% defender median96th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €1M
- Nov 2019
- Peak
- €25M
- Jun 2024
- Model target
- €17M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 21
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €17M, Borussia Dortmund. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2019-11-27 | €1M | Unknown |
| 2020-02-20 | €4M | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2020-04-08 | €3.6M | Coritiba Foot Ball Club |
| 2020-10-08 | €3.6M | Girona FC |
| 2021-01-08 | €3.6M | Girona FC |
| 2021-03-19 | €3M | Girona FC |
| 2021-06-24 | €4M | Girona FC |
| 2021-12-27 | €5M | SC Braga |
| 2022-05-31 | €5M | SC Braga |
| 2022-11-07 | €6M | Girona FC |
| 2023-03-23 | €4M | Girona FC |
| 2023-06-13 | €4M | Girona FC |
| 2023-10-13 | €8M | Girona FC |
| 2023-12-22 | €12M | Girona FC |
| 2024-03-21 | €15M | Girona FC |
| 2024-06-07 | €25M | Girona FC |
| 2024-12-20 | €25M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2025-03-27 | €20M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2025-06-05 | €20M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2025-12-19 | €20M | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2026-05-27 | €17M | Borussia Dortmund |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.225
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 78% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 89% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Couto appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AmiriCM1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€17M
- DoanRWEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga€17M
- TheateCBEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga€17M
- KamińskiLW1.FC Köln · Bundesliga€17M
- AkanjiCBInter Milan · defenders€17M
- TomoriCBAC Milan · defenders€17M
- GabbiaCBAC Milan · defenders€17M
- QuaresmaCBSporting CP · defenders€17M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).