Arthur
Theate
CBBelgium · Eintracht Frankfurt
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierBundesliga
ArthurTheate
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Eintracht Frankfurt
- League
- Bundesliga
- Nationality
- Belgium
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 27 May 2026
BundesligaReading the valuation
The market values Theate at €17M. Model A, which never saw Theate during training, estimates €20.6M: the market value is 18% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €20.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 75
- Minutes
- 6,597
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 75/75
- Min / app
- 88
- Cards
- 15Y 1R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Theate…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €17M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Aug 2020
- Peak
- €24M
- Mar 2025
- Model target
- €17M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 19
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €17M, Eintracht Frankfurt. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-06 | €150k | KV Oostende (-2024) |
| 2020-10-16 | €1M | KV Oostende (-2024) |
| 2021-01-04 | €1.5M | KV Oostende (-2024) |
| 2021-03-17 | €4M | KV Oostende (-2024) |
| 2021-06-07 | €5M | KV Oostende (-2024) |
| 2021-10-14 | €6M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2021-12-28 | €10M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2022-06-07 | €15M | Bologna FC 1909 |
| 2022-09-19 | €18M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2022-11-02 | €20M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2023-06-27 | €22M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2023-12-18 | €20M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2024-06-03 | €20M | Stade Rennais FC |
| 2024-12-20 | €20M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-03-27 | €24M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-06-05 | €24M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2025-12-19 | €24M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2026-03-20 | €20M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
| 2026-05-27 | €17M | Eintracht Frankfurt |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.193
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Bundesliga451 players · median €5M
Valued above 78% of the 451 Bundesliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 89% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Theate appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- AmiriCM1.FSV Mainz 05 · Bundesliga€17M
- DoanRWEintracht Frankfurt · Bundesliga€17M
- KamińskiLW1.FC Köln · Bundesliga€17M
- LemperleCFTSG 1899 Hoffenheim · Bundesliga€17M
- AkanjiCBInter Milan · defenders€17M
- TomoriCBAC Milan · defenders€17M
- GabbiaCBAC Milan · defenders€17M
- QuaresmaCBSporting CP · defenders€17M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).