FairValue

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Portrait of Fikayo Tomori

Fikayo

Tomori

CBEngland · AC Milan

№ 303254Elite €13.7M +0.22

Close-up

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierSerie A

FikayoTomori

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
AC Milan
League
Serie A
Nationality
England
Age
28
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
29 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Tomori at €17M. Model A, which never saw Tomori during training, estimates €13.7M: the market value is 24% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.24. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €5.9M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.22A €13.7M▲ +1.06B €5.9M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
72
Minutes
5,593
Goals
0
Assists
5
Started
66/72
Min / app
78
Cards
15Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Tomori…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €17M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €17MModel A €13.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Fikayo Tomori's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 72nd, Minutes, two years 90th, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 87th, European club minutes 72nd18thGoals72ndAssists90thMinutes75thStarts87thRecent72ndEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Minutes, two years

Total club minutes in the two-year window: how much the player was used.

5,593 this player2,860 defender median90th percentile

451peer deciles · median line · this player ●9,111

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Feb 2017
Peak
€50M
Jun 2022
Model target
€17M
May 2026
Valuations
26
4 club changes
May 2026€17MAC MilanValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €17M, AC Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-02-27€250kBrighton & Hove Albion
2017-09-18€500kHull City
2018-02-27€1MHull City
2018-09-24€2.5MDerby County
2019-02-27€7MDerby County
2019-09-12€10MChelsea FC
2019-12-10€20MChelsea FC
2020-04-08€16MChelsea FC
2020-10-13€20MChelsea FC
2020-12-17€17MChelsea FC
2021-03-23€20MAC Milan
2021-06-03€28MAC Milan
2021-10-14€40MAC Milan
2021-12-28€45MAC Milan
2022-06-07€50MAC Milan
2022-11-11€50MAC Milan
2023-03-21€45MAC Milan
2023-06-15€40MAC Milan
2023-12-20€40MAC Milan
2024-06-05€40MAC Milan
2024-10-18€32MAC Milan
2024-12-18€22MAC Milan
2025-03-25€20MAC Milan
2025-06-17€20MAC Milan
2025-12-23€20MAC Milan
2026-05-29€17MAC Milan

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.215

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Serie A507 players · median €5.5M

Valued above 80% of the 507 Serie A players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€17MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 89% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€17MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Tomori appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).