AleksandrOsipov

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club: FC Sochi
League: Premier Liga
Nationality: Russia
Age: 27
Height: 185 cm
Foot: Both
Valued: 26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Osipov at €400k. Model A, which never saw Osipov during training, estimates €325k: the market value is 23% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.23. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €484k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).

Apps: 11
Minutes: 639
Goals: 0
Assists: 1
Started: 6/11
Min / app: 58
Cards: 1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Osipov…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k

Checking API

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.14 this player0.09 midfielder median68th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation: €50k; Oct 2018
Peak: €800k; Dec 2024
Model target: €400k; May 2026
Valuations: 19; 3 club changes

May 2026€400kFC SochiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €400k, FC Sochi. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table

Date	Market value	Club
2018-10-14	€50k	Arsenal Tula II
2018-12-20	€100k	Arsenal Tula II
2019-06-14	€150k	Arsenal Tula II
2019-12-23	€150k	Veles Moscow
2020-06-29	€150k	Veles Moscow
2020-10-19	€250k	Veles Moscow
2020-12-29	€350k	Veles Moscow
2021-05-24	€400k	Veles Moscow
2021-12-07	€450k	Veles Moscow
2022-05-30	€500k	Baltika Kaliningrad
2022-12-08	€600k	Baltika Kaliningrad
2023-06-19	€750k	Baltika Kaliningrad
2023-12-13	€750k	Baltika Kaliningrad
2024-06-04	€600k	Baltika Kaliningrad
2024-12-04	€800k	Baltika Kaliningrad
2025-06-02	€750k	Baltika Kaliningrad
2025-09-18	€600k	FC Sochi
2025-12-16	€500k	FC Sochi
2026-05-26	€400k	FC Sochi

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group: UEFA
Population gap, Model A: +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A: +0.208

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 10% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

See them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 12% of the 1,687 midfielders.

See them in the Explorer →

Where Osipov appears

TerminalPremier Liga in the Player Explorer
TerminalPremier Liga on the League Landscape

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).