Egor
Lyubakov
GKRussia · Baltika Kaliningrad
Player dossierPremier Liga
EgorLyubakov
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Baltika Kaliningrad
- League
- Premier Liga
- Nationality
- Russia
- Age
- 26
- Height
- 196 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 26 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Lyubakov at €400k. Model A, which never saw Lyubakov during training, estimates €653k: the market value is 39% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.63. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €563k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 7
- Minutes
- 630
- Started
- 7/7
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lyubakov…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €400k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Oct 2018
- Peak
- €700k
- Nov 2023
- Model target
- €400k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €400k, Baltika Kaliningrad. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-10-14 | €50k | Krylya Sovetov Samara II |
| 2018-12-20 | €50k | Krylya Sovetov Samara II |
| 2019-06-14 | €50k | FC Murom |
| 2019-12-23 | €25k | FC Murom |
| 2020-06-29 | €25k | FC Murom |
| 2020-12-29 | €125k | FC Murom |
| 2021-06-28 | €125k | FC Murom |
| 2021-12-03 | €125k | FC Murom |
| 2022-06-13 | €100k | FC Murom |
| 2022-12-02 | €250k | FC Tyumen |
| 2023-06-26 | €350k | FC Tyumen |
| 2023-09-20 | €400k | FC Tyumen |
| 2023-11-30 | €700k | FC Tyumen |
| 2024-06-14 | €700k | FC Tyumen |
| 2024-12-04 | €450k | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 2025-06-02 | €350k | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 2025-12-16 | €400k | Baltika Kaliningrad |
| 2026-05-26 | €400k | Baltika Kaliningrad |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.490
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liga412 players · median €1M
Valued above 10% of the 412 Premier Liga players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 21% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Lyubakov appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KalinskiyDMFC Pari Nizhniy Novgorod · Premier Liga€400k
- KabutovRBRubin Kazan · Premier Liga€400k
- IljinCFFC Sochi · Premier Liga€400k
- KhubulovLWKrylya Sovetov Samara · Premier Liga€400k
- ForsterGKAFC Bournemouth · goalkeepers€400k
- GuaitaGKParma Calcio 1913 · goalkeepers€400k
- ChoutesiotisGKAtromitos Athens · goalkeepers€400k
- CarlgrenGKFC Nantes · goalkeepers€400k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).