FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Tanguy

Coulibaly

RWFrance · Samsunspor

№ 618425Emerging €1.1M +0.07

Player dossierSüper Lig

TanguyCoulibaly

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Samsunspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
France
Age
25
Height
179 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Coulibaly at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Coulibaly during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 7% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.07. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.07A €1.1M▲ +0.01B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
2,208
Goals
5
Assists
0
Started
26/38
Min / app
58
Cards
8Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Coulibaly…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Tanguy Coulibaly's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 37th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 50th, Starts 66th, Minutes, last 365 days 26th, European club minutes 28th37thGoals6thAssists50thMinutes66thStarts26thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

68% this player59% attacker median66th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€700k
Jul 2019
Peak
€5M
Feb 2021
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
17
3 club changes
May 2026€1.2MSamsunsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Samsunspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-07-26€700kVfB Stuttgart
2019-12-13€500kVfB Stuttgart
2020-04-08€450kVfB Stuttgart
2020-11-26€2MVfB Stuttgart
2021-02-10€5MVfB Stuttgart
2021-06-09€5MVfB Stuttgart
2021-12-22€4.5MVfB Stuttgart
2022-06-09€2.5MVfB Stuttgart
2022-11-09€2MVfB Stuttgart
2023-06-22€2.5MVfB Stuttgart
2023-10-25€2MWithout Club
2024-06-03€2MMontpellier HSC
2024-12-10€1.8MMontpellier HSC
2025-06-03€1.5MMontpellier HSC
2025-12-17€1.5MSamsunspor
2026-03-05€1.2MSamsunspor
2026-05-21€1.2MSamsunspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.068

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Coulibaly appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).