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Loide

Augusto

RWAngola · Caykur Rizespor

№ 696693Emerging €1.8M −0.43

Player dossierSüper Lig

LoideAugusto

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Caykur Rizespor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Angola
Age
26
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Augusto at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Augusto during training, estimates €1.8M: the market value is 35% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.54. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.43A €1.8M▼ −0.60B €2.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
40
Minutes
2,674
Goals
5
Assists
7
Started
31/40
Min / app
67
Cards
11Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Augusto…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €1.8M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Loide Augusto's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 28th, Assists per 90 79th, Minutes, two years 60th, Starts 80th, Minutes, last 365 days 45th, European club minutes 28th28thGoals79thAssists60thMinutes80thStarts45thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

78% this player59% attacker median80th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€175k
Nov 2021
Peak
€1.5M
Dec 2024
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
14
4 club changes
May 2026€1.2MCaykur RizesporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Caykur Rizespor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-11-05€175kSC Farense
2022-04-01€175kSC Farense
2022-06-27€175kSC Farense
2022-12-28€250kCD Mafra
2023-06-28€250kCD Mafra
2023-09-27€600kAlanyaspor
2023-12-21€600kAlanyaspor
2024-03-15€900kAlanyaspor
2024-05-31€900kAlanyaspor
2024-10-04€1.4MAlanyaspor
2024-12-23€1.5MAlanyaspor
2025-06-06€1.2MClube de Regatas Vasco da Gama
2025-12-17€1MCaykur Rizespor
2026-05-21€1.2MCaykur Rizespor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.430

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Augusto appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).