Valdemar
Lund
CBDenmark · Vejle Boldklub
Player dossierSuperliga
ValdemarLund
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Vejle Boldklub
- League
- Superliga
- Nationality
- Denmark
- Age
- 22
- Height
- 193 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 25 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Lund at €900k. Model A, which never saw Lund during training, estimates €329k: the market value is 173% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.73. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €560k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 12
- Minutes
- 914
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 12/12
- Min / app
- 76
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Lund…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player83% defender median97th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jun 2021
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Jun 2023
- Model target
- €900k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 12
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €900k, Vejle Boldklub. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-04 | €100k | FC Copenhagen U19 |
| 2021-12-28 | €100k | FC Copenhagen |
| 2022-06-20 | €300k | FC Copenhagen |
| 2022-09-13 | €350k | FC Copenhagen |
| 2022-12-22 | €600k | FC Copenhagen |
| 2023-06-26 | €1.5M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2023-12-21 | €1.5M | FC Copenhagen |
| 2024-06-12 | €1.4M | Molde FK |
| 2024-12-12 | €1.4M | Molde FK |
| 2025-06-18 | €1.2M | Molde FK |
| 2025-12-15 | €1M | Vejle Boldklub |
| 2026-05-25 | €900k | Vejle Boldklub |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.006
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Superliga256 players · median €800k
Valued above 54% of the 256 Superliga players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Lund appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KlaiberRBBröndby IF · Superliga€900k
- MelingLBFC Copenhagen · Superliga€900k
- MüllerGKAalborg BK · Superliga€900k
- QamiliRWSönderjyske Fodbold · Superliga€900k
- BartraCBReal Betis Balompié · defenders€900k
- CabreraCBRCD Espanyol Barcelona · defenders€900k
- BiraghiLBTorino FC · defenders€900k
- FoulquierRBValencia CF · defenders€900k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).