FairValue

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Birger

Meling

LBNorway · FC Copenhagen

№ 282250Emerging €680k +0.28

Player dossierSuperliga

BirgerMeling

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
FC Copenhagen
League
Superliga
Nationality
Norway
Age
31
Height
173 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Meling at €900k. Model A, which never saw Meling during training, estimates €680k: the market value is 32% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.32. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.28A €680k▼ −0.28B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
38
Minutes
2,071
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
24/38
Min / app
55
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Meling…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €900kModel A €680k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Birger Meling's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 35th, Starts 18th, Minutes, last 365 days 41st, European club minutes 96th18thGoals17thAssists35thMinutes18thStarts41stRecent96thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

31% this player0% defender median96th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Dec 2014
Peak
€7M
May 2022
Model target
€900k
May 2026
Valuations
24
4 club changes
May 2026€900kFC CopenhagenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €900k, FC Copenhagen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-12-07€100kStabæk Fotball
2015-08-19€500kStabæk Fotball
2015-12-27€700kStabæk Fotball
2016-12-18€1MStabæk Fotball
2017-12-23€1MRosenborg BK
2018-09-10€1.2MRosenborg BK
2018-12-30€1.5MRosenborg BK
2019-12-29€1.5MRosenborg BK
2020-04-08€1.2MRosenborg BK
2020-10-15€2MNîmes Olympique
2021-04-09€3MNîmes Olympique
2021-06-04€3.5MNîmes Olympique
2021-10-08€5MStade Rennais FC
2021-12-16€6MStade Rennais FC
2022-05-30€7MStade Rennais FC
2022-11-02€6MStade Rennais FC
2023-03-27€5MStade Rennais FC
2023-06-27€5MStade Rennais FC
2023-12-21€4MFC Copenhagen
2024-06-10€3.5MFC Copenhagen
2024-12-09€3.5MFC Copenhagen
2025-06-16€2.5MFC Copenhagen
2025-12-15€1.5MFC Copenhagen
2026-05-25€900kFC Copenhagen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.280

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 54% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€900kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Meling appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).