FairValue

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Himad

Abdelli

AMAlgeria · Olympique Marseille

№ 592979Established €3.9M +0.26

Player dossierLigue 1

HimadAbdelli

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Olympique Marseille
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Algeria
Age
26
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Abdelli at €5M. Model A, which never saw Abdelli during training, estimates €3.9M: the market value is 29% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.26A €3.9M▲ +1.53B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
53
Minutes
3,930
Goals
8
Assists
1
Started
44/53
Min / app
74
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Abdelli…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €5MModel A €3.9M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Himad Abdelli's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 80th, Assists per 90 18th, Minutes, two years 73rd, Starts 75th, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 30th80thGoals18thAssists73rdMinutes75thStarts35thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.18 this player0.08 midfielder median80th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Jan 2019
Peak
€7M
Mar 2025
Model target
€5M
Jun 2026
Valuations
20
3 club changes
Jun 2026€5MOlympique MarseilleValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €5M, Olympique Marseille. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-01-08€400kUnknown
2020-01-06€400kLe Havre AC
2020-04-08€350kLe Havre AC
2020-08-14€500kLe Havre AC
2020-11-11€1MLe Havre AC
2021-03-11€1.5MLe Havre AC
2021-06-25€1.8MLe Havre AC
2021-10-27€1.5MLe Havre AC
2021-12-27€1.2MLe Havre AC
2022-06-02€1.5MLe Havre AC
2022-11-02€1.2MAngers SCO
2023-06-27€2.5MAngers SCO
2023-10-27€3MAngers SCO
2023-12-13€3.5MAngers SCO
2024-06-11€4MAngers SCO
2024-12-10€5MAngers SCO
2025-03-24€7MAngers SCO
2025-06-03€7MAngers SCO
2025-12-15€7MAngers SCO
2026-06-01€5MOlympique Marseille

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.256

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 45% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 65% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Abdelli appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).