Pape Matar
Sarr
CMSenegal · Tottenham Hotspur
Photo: Bryan Berlin / WikiPortraits, CC BY-SA 4.0 (background removed)
Player dossierPremier League
Pape MatarSarr
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Tottenham Hotspur
- League
- Premier League
- Nationality
- Senegal
- Age
- 23
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 3 Jun 2026
Premier LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Sarr at €30M. Model A, which never saw Sarr during training, estimates €25.8M: the market value is 16% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.16. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €31.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 88
- Minutes
- 4,855
- Goals
- 7
- Assists
- 7
- Started
- 51/88
- Min / app
- 55
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Sarr…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €30M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
28% this player0% midfielder median94th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €3M
- Mar 2021
- Peak
- €45M
- May 2024
- Model target
- €30M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 18
- 1 club change
Jun 2026: €30M, Tottenham Hotspur. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2021-03-09 | €3M | FC Metz |
| 2021-06-04 | €10M | FC Metz |
| 2021-10-08 | €20M | FC Metz |
| 2021-12-16 | €20M | FC Metz |
| 2022-05-30 | €15M | FC Metz |
| 2022-11-03 | €15M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2023-06-20 | €15M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2023-10-09 | €35M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2023-12-19 | €35M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2024-03-14 | €40M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2024-05-27 | €45M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2024-12-16 | €45M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-03-18 | €40M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-05-30 | €32M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-10-17 | €35M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2025-12-09 | €35M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2026-03-09 | €32M | Tottenham Hotspur |
| 2026-06-03 | €30M | Tottenham Hotspur |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.149
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier League555 players · median €18M
Valued above 73% of the 555 Premier League players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 93% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Sarr appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TielemansCMAston Villa · Premier League€30M
- RayaGKArsenal FC · Premier League€30M
- BowenRWWest Ham United · Premier League€30M
- LigtCBManchester United · Premier League€30M
- McKennieCMJuventus FC · midfielders€30M
- RuizCMParis Saint-Germain · midfielders€30M
- AmpaduDMLeeds United · midfielders€30M
- KetelaereAMAtalanta BC · midfielders€30M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).