FairValue

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Portrait of Mikkel Damsgaard

Mikkel

Damsgaard

AMDenmark · Brentford FC

№ 540941World Class €35.2M −0.16

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

MikkelDamsgaard

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Brentford FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Denmark
Age
25
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Damsgaard at €30M. Model A, which never saw Damsgaard during training, estimates €35.2M: the market value is 15% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.17. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €23M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.16A €35.2M▲ +0.27B €23M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
77
Minutes
5,430
Goals
6
Assists
15
Started
63/77
Min / app
71
Cards
2Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Damsgaard…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €30M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €30MModel A €35.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mikkel Damsgaard's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 56th, Assists per 90 92nd, Minutes, two years 90th, Starts 74th, Minutes, last 365 days 74th, European club minutes 30th56thGoals92ndAssists90thMinutes74thStarts74thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.25 this player0.09 midfielder median92nd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Feb 2018
Peak
€30M
Oct 2025
Model target
€30M
Jun 2026
Valuations
24
3 club changes
Jun 2026€30MBrentford FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €30M, Brentford FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-02-17€100kFC Nordsjaelland U19
2018-06-02€400kFC Nordsjaelland U19
2018-12-21€1MFC Nordsjaelland
2019-06-08€1.8MFC Nordsjaelland
2019-12-22€5MFC Nordsjaelland
2020-04-08€4.5MFC Nordsjaelland
2020-07-31€6.5MFC Nordsjaelland
2020-12-29€8MUC Sampdoria
2021-03-23€10MUC Sampdoria
2021-05-26€13MUC Sampdoria
2021-07-15€20MUC Sampdoria
2021-12-28€18MUC Sampdoria
2022-03-15€15MUC Sampdoria
2022-06-07€15MUC Sampdoria
2022-11-03€15MBrentford FC
2023-06-20€13MBrentford FC
2023-12-19€10MBrentford FC
2024-05-27€10MBrentford FC
2024-12-16€15MBrentford FC
2025-03-18€25MBrentford FC
2025-05-30€28MBrentford FC
2025-10-17€30MBrentford FC
2025-12-09€30MBrentford FC
2026-06-03€30MBrentford FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.160

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 73% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€30MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 93% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€30MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Damsgaard appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).