Tijs
Velthuis
Player dossierEredivisie
TijsVelthuis
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- PEC Zwolle
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Netherlands
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Velthuis at €500k. Model A, which never saw Velthuis during training, estimates €358k: the market value is 40% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.40. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €626k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 14
- Minutes
- 578
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 6/14
- Min / app
- 41
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Velthuis…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
0% this player0% defender median30th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Aug 2020
- Peak
- €900k
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €500k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 16
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €500k, PEC Zwolle. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-12 | €25k | AZ Alkmaar U21 |
| 2020-10-24 | €200k | AZ Alkmaar U21 |
| 2020-12-31 | €200k | AZ Alkmaar U21 |
| 2021-10-12 | €300k | AZ Alkmaar U21 |
| 2022-01-12 | €400k | AZ Alkmaar U21 |
| 2022-03-24 | €500k | AZ Alkmaar U21 |
| 2022-06-23 | €500k | AZ Alkmaar U21 |
| 2023-07-04 | €450k | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2023-10-17 | €650k | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2023-12-15 | €900k | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2024-05-31 | €800k | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2024-12-23 | €800k | US Salernitana 1919 |
| 2025-06-02 | €700k | US Sassuolo |
| 2025-10-02 | €550k | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2025-12-02 | €500k | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2026-05-28 | €500k | PEC Zwolle |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.335
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 25% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 19% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Velthuis appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ZawadaCFFC Groningen · Eredivisie€500k
- HoogmaCBWillem II Tilburg · Eredivisie€500k
- BaetenCFGo Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie€500k
- BenitaRBHeracles Almelo · Eredivisie€500k
- DanteCBOGC Nice · defenders€500k
- SilvaCBFC Porto · defenders€500k
- VidaCBAEK Athens · defenders€500k
- TavernierRBRangers FC · defenders€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).