FairValue

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Dante

CBBrazil · OGC Nice

№ 16136Emerging €401k +0.22

Player dossierLigue 1

Dante

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
OGC Nice
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Brazil
Age
42
Height
188 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dante at €500k. Model A, which never saw Dante during training, estimates €401k: the market value is 25% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.25. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €608k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.22A €401k▼ −0.20B €608k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
44
Minutes
3,292
Goals
0
Assists
1
Started
36/44
Min / app
75
Cards
7Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dante…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €401k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Dante's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 42nd, Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 49th, Minutes, last 365 days 31st, European club minutes 77th18thGoals42ndAssists58thMinutes49thStarts31stRecent77thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

14% this player0% defender median77th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€250k
Oct 2004
Peak
€17M
Jun 2013
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
41
6 club changes
Jun 2026€500kOGC NiceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, OGC Nice. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2004-10-04€250kLOSC Lille
2006-12-20€800kRoyal Charleroi SC
2007-01-12€1MStandard Liège
2007-08-07€1.5MStandard Liège
2008-07-15€2MStandard Liège
2008-11-25€2.5MStandard Liège
2009-11-18€3.5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2010-01-17€5MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2010-06-13€7MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2011-01-12€6MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2011-06-29€7MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2012-01-23€8MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2012-06-29€8MBorussia Mönchengladbach
2013-01-13€10MBayern Munich
2013-06-30€17MBayern Munich
2014-07-10€15MBayern Munich
2015-02-04€11MBayern Munich
2015-07-01€6MBayern Munich
2015-10-16€4.5MVfL Wolfsburg
2016-02-15€3MVfL Wolfsburg
2016-07-22€2MVfL Wolfsburg
2017-01-16€2MOGC Nice
2017-06-01€2MOGC Nice
2018-01-24€2MOGC Nice
2018-06-04€1.5MOGC Nice
2018-12-17€1.5MOGC Nice
2019-06-03€1.5MOGC Nice
2019-12-19€1MOGC Nice
2020-04-08€800kOGC Nice
2020-10-15€1MOGC Nice
2021-06-04€1MOGC Nice
2021-12-16€1MOGC Nice
2022-05-30€800kOGC Nice
2022-11-02€700kOGC Nice
2023-06-27€600kOGC Nice
2023-12-18€600kOGC Nice
2024-06-03€500kOGC Nice
2024-12-10€500kOGC Nice
2025-06-03€500kOGC Nice
2025-12-15€500kOGC Nice
2026-06-01€500kOGC Nice

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.220

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 3% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 19% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dante appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).