FairValue

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Noah

Ohio

CFNetherlands · FC Utrecht

№ 557410Emerging €1.3M −0.27

Player dossierEredivisie

NoahOhio

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
FC Utrecht
League
Eredivisie
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
22
Height
183 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Ohio at €1M. Model A, which never saw Ohio during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 24% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.31. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.27A €1.3M▼ −1.22B €3.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
33
Minutes
920
Goals
5
Assists
0
Started
7/33
Min / app
28
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ohio…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Noah Ohio's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 86th, Assists per 90 6th, Minutes, two years 16th, Starts 4th, Minutes, last 365 days 9th, European club minutes 74th86thGoals6thAssists16thMinutes4thStarts9thRecent74thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.49 this player0.26 attacker median86th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Mar 2021
Peak
€3M
Oct 2024
Model target
€1M
Dec 2025
Valuations
16
4 club changes
Dec 2025€1MFC UtrechtValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €1M, FC Utrecht. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2021-03-09€100kVitesse Arnhem
2021-05-19€100kVitesse Arnhem
2021-09-06€500kAustria Vienna
2021-12-16€500kAustria Vienna
2022-05-27€700kAustria Vienna
2022-11-04€700kStandard Liège
2023-03-22€1.2MStandard Liège
2023-06-09€2.5MStandard Liège
2023-12-19€2.2MStandard Liège
2024-03-07€2MHull City
2024-05-24€2MHull City
2024-10-14€3MFC Utrecht
2024-12-17€3MFC Utrecht
2025-05-28€2MFC Utrecht
2025-10-02€1.3MFC Utrecht
2025-12-02€1MFC Utrecht

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.272

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Eredivisie425 players · median €1M

Valued above 46% of the 425 Eredivisie players.

€75k€500k€3M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ohio appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).