Diego
Esteban
LWSpain · Panetolikos
Player dossierSuper League
DiegoEsteban
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Panetolikos
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 26
- Height
- –
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Super LeagueReading the valuation
The market values Esteban at €450k. Model A, which never saw Esteban during training, estimates €620k: the market value is 27% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.38. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €808k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 29
- Minutes
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- Goals
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- Started
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- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Esteban…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €450k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
86% this player59% attacker median90th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Oct 2020
- Peak
- €450k
- Jun 2026
- Model target
- €450k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 15
- 4 club changes
Jun 2026: €450k, Panetolikos. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-10-08 | €50k | SD Logroñés |
| 2021-01-07 | €100k | SD Logroñés |
| 2021-06-30 | €150k | Betis Deportivo Balompié |
| 2021-12-30 | €150k | SD Logroñés |
| 2022-06-29 | €150k | SD Logroñés |
| 2022-12-29 | €200k | SD Logroñés |
| 2023-06-30 | €200k | SD Logroñés |
| 2023-12-20 | €250k | Algeciras CF |
| 2024-06-24 | €250k | Algeciras CF |
| 2024-12-18 | €250k | Algeciras CF |
| 2025-06-25 | €250k | Algeciras CF |
| 2025-09-23 | €300k | Panetolikos |
| 2025-12-12 | €350k | Panetolikos |
| 2026-03-06 | €400k | Panetolikos |
| 2026-06-04 | €450k | Panetolikos |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.321
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 35% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 14% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Esteban appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- MagnússonCBLevadiakos · Super League€450k
- OzegovicCFLevadiakos · Super League€450k
- DeligiannidisRBAsteras Aktor · Super League€450k
- KotsarisGKPanathinaikos · Super League€450k
- MarkovCFUral Yekaterinburg · attackers€450k
- AlshinLWFakel Voronezh · attackers€450k
- PetersonLWFortuna Sittard · attackers€450k
- MirzovLWArsenal Tula · attackers€450k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).