FairValue

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Emirhan

Topçu

CBTürkiye · Besiktas JK

№ 531332Established €7.1M −0.01

Player dossierSüper Lig

EmirhanTopçu

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Besiktas JK
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
25
Height
188 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Topçu at €7M. Model A, which never saw Topçu during training, estimates €7.1M: the market value is 1% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €11.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.01A €7.1M▼ −0.47B €11.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
62
Minutes
4,630
Goals
2
Assists
1
Started
51/62
Min / app
75
Cards
21Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Topçu…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €7.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Emirhan Topçu's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 55th, Assists per 90 37th, Minutes, two years 78th, Starts 50th, Minutes, last 365 days 68th, European club minutes 88th55thGoals37thAssists78thMinutes50thStarts68thRecent88thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

23% this player0% defender median88th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Aug 2017
Peak
€7M
May 2026
Model target
€7M
May 2026
Valuations
30
5 club changes
May 2026€7MBesiktas JKValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €7M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-08-16€25kCaykur Rizespor
2018-02-05€25kCaykur Rizespor
2018-05-30€25kCaykur Rizespor
2019-01-04€50kCaykur Rizespor
2019-06-04€50kCaykur Rizespor
2020-01-03€50kCaykur Rizespor
2020-06-26€50kNK Celik Zenica
2020-08-04€50kCaykur Rizespor
2020-12-23€50kCaykur Rizespor
2021-03-23€100kMenemenspor
2021-06-02€300kMenemenspor
2021-10-12€300kCaykur Rizespor
2022-01-04€300kCaykur Rizespor
2022-03-31€300kCaykur Rizespor
2022-06-01€300kCaykur Rizespor
2022-11-15€600kCaykur Rizespor
2023-04-03€650kCaykur Rizespor
2023-06-23€900kCaykur Rizespor
2023-09-27€1.5MCaykur Rizespor
2023-12-21€2MCaykur Rizespor
2024-03-15€4MCaykur Rizespor
2024-05-31€4.3MCaykur Rizespor
2024-10-04€5MBesiktas JK
2024-12-23€5MBesiktas JK
2025-03-20€5.5MBesiktas JK
2025-06-18€5.5MBesiktas JK
2025-10-01€5MBesiktas JK
2025-12-17€5MBesiktas JK
2026-03-05€6MBesiktas JK
2026-05-21€7MBesiktas JK

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.008

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 87% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 76% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Topçu appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).