FairValue

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Andrew

Robertson

LBScotland · Liverpool FC

№ 234803Established €7.3M −0.04

Player dossierPremier League

AndrewRobertson

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Liverpool FC
League
Premier League
Nationality
Scotland
Age
32
Height
178 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Robertson at €7M. Model A, which never saw Robertson during training, estimates €7.3M: the market value is 4% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.04. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.04A €7.3M▲ +0.05B €6.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
77
Minutes
5,043
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
55/77
Min / app
65
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Robertson…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €7MModel A €7.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Andrew Robertson's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 66th, Assists per 90 68th, Minutes, two years 84th, Starts 29th, Minutes, last 365 days 62nd, European club minutes 85th66thGoals68thAssists84thMinutes29thStarts62ndRecent85thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

21% this player0% defender median85th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Oct 2013
Peak
€80M
Dec 2019
Model target
€7M
Jun 2026
Valuations
34
2 club changes
Jun 2026€7MLiverpool FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €7M, Liverpool FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-10-08€75kDundee United FC
2014-02-13€600kDundee United FC
2014-08-12€3.5MHull City
2015-02-12€5MHull City
2015-09-24€5MHull City
2016-04-20€6MHull City
2016-08-01€7MHull City
2017-02-20€7MHull City
2017-06-28€7MHull City
2018-01-02€10MLiverpool FC
2018-05-28€25MLiverpool FC
2018-10-17€35MLiverpool FC
2018-12-19€45MLiverpool FC
2019-03-05€50MLiverpool FC
2019-06-13€60MLiverpool FC
2019-12-10€80MLiverpool FC
2020-04-08€64MLiverpool FC
2020-10-13€75MLiverpool FC
2021-03-18€70MLiverpool FC
2021-05-28€65MLiverpool FC
2021-12-23€65MLiverpool FC
2022-06-15€65MLiverpool FC
2022-11-03€55MLiverpool FC
2023-03-16€48MLiverpool FC
2023-06-20€40MLiverpool FC
2023-12-19€35MLiverpool FC
2024-05-27€30MLiverpool FC
2024-12-16€25MLiverpool FC
2025-03-18€20MLiverpool FC
2025-05-30€18MLiverpool FC
2025-10-17€15MLiverpool FC
2025-12-09€12MLiverpool FC
2026-03-09€10MLiverpool FC
2026-06-03€7MLiverpool FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.043

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 26% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 76% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€7MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Robertson appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).