Emirhan
Topçu
Player dossierSüper Lig
EmirhanTopçu
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Besiktas JK
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 188 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Topçu at €7M. Model A, which never saw Topçu during training, estimates €7.1M: the market value is 1% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.01. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €11.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 62
- Minutes
- 4,630
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 51/62
- Min / app
- 75
- Cards
- 21Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Topçu…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €7M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
23% this player0% defender median88th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Aug 2017
- Peak
- €7M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €7M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 30
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €7M, Besiktas JK. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-08-16 | €25k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2018-02-05 | €25k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2018-05-30 | €25k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2019-01-04 | €50k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2019-06-04 | €50k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2020-01-03 | €50k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2020-06-26 | €50k | NK Celik Zenica |
| 2020-08-04 | €50k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2020-12-23 | €50k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2021-03-23 | €100k | Menemenspor |
| 2021-06-02 | €300k | Menemenspor |
| 2021-10-12 | €300k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-01-04 | €300k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-03-31 | €300k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-06-01 | €300k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2022-11-15 | €600k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-04-03 | €650k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-06-23 | €900k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-09-27 | €1.5M | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2023-12-21 | €2M | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-03-15 | €4M | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-05-31 | €4.3M | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2024-10-04 | €5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2024-12-23 | €5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-03-20 | €5.5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-06-18 | €5.5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-10-01 | €5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2025-12-17 | €5M | Besiktas JK |
| 2026-03-05 | €6M | Besiktas JK |
| 2026-05-21 | €7M | Besiktas JK |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.008
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 87% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 76% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Topçu appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- CernyRWBesiktas JK · Süper Lig€7M
- TaliscaAMFenerbahce · Süper Lig€7M
- HolseAMSamsunspor · Süper Lig€7M
- MüldürRBFenerbahce · Süper Lig€7M
- HenrichsRBRB Leipzig · defenders€7M
- RobertsonLBLiverpool FC · defenders€7M
- HermosoCBAS Roma · defenders€7M
- BensebainiCBBorussia Dortmund · defenders€7M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).

