Darko
Nejasmic
Player dossierEredivisie
DarkoNejasmic
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- NEC Nijmegen
- League
- Eredivisie
- Nationality
- Croatia
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 28 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Nejasmic at €4M. Model A, which never saw Nejasmic during training, estimates €5.4M: the market value is 26% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 36
- Minutes
- 2,926
- Goals
- 4
- Assists
- 1
- Started
- 33/36
- Min / app
- 81
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Nejasmic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €4M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
92% this player69% midfielder median89th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Sept 2018
- Peak
- €4M
- May 2026
- Model target
- €4M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 19
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €4M, NEC Nijmegen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2018-09-25 | €100k | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2019-03-11 | €350k | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2019-09-16 | €1M | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2019-12-27 | €2M | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2020-04-08 | €1.8M | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2020-07-27 | €1.6M | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2020-12-28 | €1M | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2021-06-10 | €500k | HNK Hajduk Split |
| 2021-12-30 | €1.3M | NK Osijek |
| 2022-06-06 | €1.3M | NK Osijek |
| 2022-11-08 | €1.6M | NK Osijek |
| 2023-06-06 | €1.6M | NK Osijek |
| 2023-12-18 | €1.8M | NK Osijek |
| 2024-06-04 | €1.8M | NK Osijek |
| 2024-11-18 | €1.8M | Sharjah FC |
| 2025-05-29 | €1.5M | Sharjah FC |
| 2025-12-02 | €2M | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2026-03-11 | €3M | NEC Nijmegen |
| 2026-05-28 | €4M | NEC Nijmegen |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.301
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Eredivisie425 players · median €1M
Valued above 76% of the 425 Eredivisie players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 61% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Nejasmic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- DrommelGKSparta Rotterdam · Eredivisie€4M
- ObispoCBPSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie€4M
- LammersCFFC Twente Enschede · Eredivisie€4M
- BoaduCFPSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie€4M
- BarkleyCMAston Villa · midfielders€4M
- EndoDMLiverpool FC · midfielders€4M
- ThomassonCMRC Lens · midfielders€4M
- KarlströmDMUdinese Calcio · midfielders€4M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).


