Erdem
Canpolat
GKTürkiye · Caykur Rizespor
Player dossierSüper Lig
ErdemCanpolat
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Caykur Rizespor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Türkiye
- Age
- 25
- Height
- 194 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Canpolat at €500k. Model A, which never saw Canpolat during training, estimates €603k: the market value is 17% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €856k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 8
- Minutes
- 720
- Started
- 8/8
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Canpolat…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Aug 2020
- Peak
- €1M
- Mar 2024
- Model target
- €500k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 22
- 3 club changes
May 2026: €500k, Caykur Rizespor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-31 | €50k | FC Schalke 04 II |
| 2020-12-23 | €50k | Kasimpasa |
| 2021-03-16 | €50k | Kasimpasa |
| 2021-05-21 | €50k | Kasimpasa |
| 2021-10-12 | €50k | Kasimpasa |
| 2022-01-04 | €50k | Kasimpasa |
| 2022-03-31 | €50k | Kasimpasa |
| 2022-06-01 | €125k | Kasimpasa |
| 2022-10-27 | €125k | Kasimpasa |
| 2023-03-14 | €250k | Kasimpasa |
| 2023-06-08 | €450k | Kasimpasa |
| 2023-09-27 | €550k | Pendikspor |
| 2023-12-21 | €800k | Pendikspor |
| 2024-03-15 | €1M | Pendikspor |
| 2024-05-31 | €1M | Pendikspor |
| 2024-10-16 | €800k | Pendikspor |
| 2025-01-09 | €700k | Pendikspor |
| 2025-04-02 | €650k | Pendikspor |
| 2025-06-25 | €550k | Pendikspor |
| 2025-10-01 | €500k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2025-12-17 | €500k | Caykur Rizespor |
| 2026-05-21 | €500k | Caykur Rizespor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.188
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 20% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 27% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Canpolat appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GünokGKFenerbahce · Süper Lig€500k
- StreekAMAntalyaspor · Süper Lig€500k
- TürüçRWKonyaspor · Süper Lig€500k
- JovanovicGKKocaelispor · Süper Lig€500k
- SteeleGKBrighton & Hove Albion · goalkeepers€500k
- DúbravkaGKBurnley FC · goalkeepers€500k
- SilvestriGKUS Cremonese · goalkeepers€500k
- FernándezGKCA Osasuna · goalkeepers€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).