Marco
Silvestri
GKItaly · US Cremonese
Player dossierSerie A
MarcoSilvestri
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- US Cremonese
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- Italy
- Age
- 35
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Silvestri at €500k. Model A, which never saw Silvestri during training, estimates €277k: the market value is 81% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.81. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €156k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 10
- Minutes
- 900
- Started
- 10/10
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 0Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Silvestri…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
100% this player100% goalkeeper median62nd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €50k
- Jun 2009
- Peak
- €10M
- Dec 2020
- Model target
- €500k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 37
- 10 club changes
May 2026: €500k, US Cremonese. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2009-06-17 | €50k | Modena FC |
| 2011-05-30 | €200k | Chievo Verona |
| 2011-06-21 | €200k | Chievo Verona |
| 2012-04-29 | €300k | AC Reggiana 1919 |
| 2012-12-23 | €300k | Calcio Padova |
| 2013-07-05 | €500k | Chievo Verona |
| 2014-01-07 | €500k | Chievo Verona |
| 2014-07-01 | €500k | Chievo Verona |
| 2015-02-24 | €500k | Leeds United |
| 2015-09-24 | €500k | Leeds United |
| 2016-04-20 | €500k | Leeds United |
| 2016-09-01 | €500k | Leeds United |
| 2017-02-27 | €500k | Leeds United |
| 2017-10-13 | €400k | Hellas Verona |
| 2017-12-29 | €400k | Hellas Verona |
| 2018-06-07 | €350k | Hellas Verona |
| 2019-01-17 | €500k | Hellas Verona |
| 2019-06-05 | €800k | Hellas Verona |
| 2019-12-12 | €3M | Hellas Verona |
| 2020-03-03 | €6M | Hellas Verona |
| 2020-04-08 | €4.8M | Hellas Verona |
| 2020-08-25 | €6M | Hellas Verona |
| 2020-12-29 | €10M | Hellas Verona |
| 2021-06-03 | €9M | Hellas Verona |
| 2021-10-14 | €6M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2021-12-28 | €6M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2022-06-07 | €5M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2022-11-11 | €5M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2023-06-15 | €5M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2023-12-20 | €3.5M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2024-03-12 | €2M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2024-06-05 | €1M | Udinese Calcio |
| 2024-10-15 | €750k | UC Sampdoria |
| 2024-12-23 | €500k | UC Sampdoria |
| 2025-06-17 | €500k | FC Empoli |
| 2025-12-23 | €500k | US Cremonese |
| 2026-05-29 | €500k | US Cremonese |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.591
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 1% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 27% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Silvestri appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- FerriCMUC Sampdoria · Serie A€500k
- JoronenGKPalermo FC · Serie A€500k
- AkproCMHellas Verona · Serie A€500k
- PetagnaCFAC Monza · Serie A€500k
- GünokGKFenerbahce · goalkeepers€500k
- SteeleGKBrighton & Hove Albion · goalkeepers€500k
- DúbravkaGKBurnley FC · goalkeepers€500k
- FernándezGKCA Osasuna · goalkeepers€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).