Aleksandar
Jovanovic
GKSerbia · Kocaelispor
Player dossierSüper Lig
AleksandarJovanovic
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Kocaelispor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Serbia
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Jovanovic at €500k. Model A, which never saw Jovanovic during training, estimates €295k: the market value is 70% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.70. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €725k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 24
- Minutes
- 2,145
- Started
- 24/24
- Min / app
- 89
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Jovanovic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
27% this player0% goalkeeper median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €250k
- May 2013
- Peak
- €2M
- Jun 2025
- Model target
- €500k
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 31
- 9 club changes
May 2026: €500k, Kocaelispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2013-05-28 | €250k | FK Rad |
| 2013-12-27 | €250k | FK Rad |
| 2014-11-11 | €250k | FK Rad |
| 2015-06-15 | €200k | FK Donji Srem Pecinci |
| 2015-11-23 | €400k | FK Radnicki Nis |
| 2016-05-29 | €600k | FK Radnicki Nis |
| 2016-08-12 | €600k | Aarhus GF |
| 2016-12-12 | €500k | Aarhus GF |
| 2017-06-21 | €500k | Aarhus GF |
| 2017-12-18 | €400k | Aarhus GF |
| 2018-06-02 | €500k | Aarhus GF |
| 2018-10-31 | €1M | SD Huesca |
| 2018-12-21 | €1M | SD Huesca |
| 2019-06-11 | €1M | SD Huesca |
| 2019-12-22 | €700k | Aarhus GF |
| 2020-04-08 | €550k | Deportivo de La Coruña |
| 2020-10-06 | €500k | Apollon Limassol |
| 2021-05-14 | €400k | Apollon Limassol |
| 2022-01-11 | €500k | Apollon Limassol |
| 2022-06-20 | €800k | Apollon Limassol |
| 2023-01-10 | €800k | Apollon Limassol |
| 2023-05-31 | €800k | Apollon Limassol |
| 2023-12-27 | €800k | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2024-06-10 | €1.2M | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2024-09-19 | €1.5M | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2024-12-27 | €1.8M | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2025-06-12 | €2M | FK Partizan Belgrade |
| 2025-10-01 | €1.5M | Kocaelispor |
| 2025-12-17 | €1M | Kocaelispor |
| 2026-03-05 | €800k | Kocaelispor |
| 2026-05-21 | €500k | Kocaelispor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.529
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 20% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 27% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Jovanovic appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GünokGKFenerbahce · Süper Lig€500k
- StreekAMAntalyaspor · Süper Lig€500k
- TürüçRWKonyaspor · Süper Lig€500k
- HwangAMAlanyaspor · Süper Lig€500k
- SteeleGKBrighton & Hove Albion · goalkeepers€500k
- DúbravkaGKBurnley FC · goalkeepers€500k
- SilvestriGKUS Cremonese · goalkeepers€500k
- FernándezGKCA Osasuna · goalkeepers€500k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).