FairValue

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Aurélien

Scheidler

CFFrance · Royal Charleroi SC

№ 497175Established €3.5M −0.57

Player dossierPro League

AurélienScheidler

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Royal Charleroi SC
League
Pro League
Nationality
France
Age
28
Height
192 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Scheidler at €2M. Model A, which never saw Scheidler during training, estimates €3.5M: the market value is 44% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.77. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.57A €3.5M▼ −1.10B €6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
61
Minutes
4,771
Goals
15
Assists
6
Started
57/61
Min / app
78
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Scheidler…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €3.5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Aurélien Scheidler's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 54th, Assists per 90 37th, Minutes, two years 89th, Starts 98th, Minutes, last 365 days 97th, European club minutes 28th54thGoals37thAssists89thMinutes98thStarts97thRecent28thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

93% this player59% attacker median98th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€400k
Sept 2019
Peak
€2M
Mar 2026
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
18
7 club changes
Jun 2026€2MRoyal Charleroi SCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Royal Charleroi SC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-09-30€400kUS Orléans
2020-01-06€800kUS Orléans
2020-04-08€725kUS Orléans
2020-10-15€1MDijon FCO
2021-06-25€1MAS Nancy-Lorraine
2021-12-27€1.5MDijon FCO
2022-06-02€1.5MDijon FCO
2022-12-22€1.5MSSC Bari
2023-06-12€1.2MSSC Bari
2023-10-13€1MFC Andorra
2023-12-20€1MFC Andorra
2024-06-24€1MFC Andorra
2024-12-11€1.2MFCV Dender EH
2025-03-26€1.5MFCV Dender EH
2025-06-12€1.8MFCV Dender EH
2025-12-10€1.8MRoyal Charleroi SC
2026-03-13€2MRoyal Charleroi SC
2026-06-04€2MRoyal Charleroi SC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.574

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Pro League350 players · median €1.8M

Valued above 50% of the 350 Pro League players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Scheidler appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).