FairValue

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Nabil

Touaizi

RMMorocco · FC Alverca

№ 487180Emerging €2.4M −1.09

Player dossierLiga Portugal

NabilTouaizi

RMRight MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Alverca
League
Liga Portugal
Nationality
Morocco
Age
25
Height
183 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
28 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Touaizi at €800k. Model A, which never saw Touaizi during training, estimates €2.4M: the market value is 66% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.97. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −1.09A €2.4M▼ −1.33B €3M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,849
Goals
1
Assists
5
Started
31/34
Min / app
84
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Touaizi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €800k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €800kModel A €2.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Nabil Touaizi's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 25th, Assists per 90 73rd, Minutes, two years 55th, Starts 88th, Minutes, last 365 days 89th, European club minutes 30th25thGoals73rdAssists55thMinutes88thStarts89thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

2,849 this player1,541 midfielder median89th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Oct 2020
Peak
€800k
May 2026
Model target
€800k
May 2026
Valuations
14
3 club changes
May 2026€800kFC AlvercaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €800k, FC Alverca. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-10-08€100kRCD Espanyol B
2021-01-08€100kRCD Espanyol B
2021-06-30€300kRCD Espanyol B
2021-12-30€300kRCD Espanyol B
2022-06-29€200kRCD Espanyol B
2022-12-29€200kRCD Espanyol B
2023-06-30€200kRCD Espanyol B
2023-12-20€200kAtlético Madrileño
2024-06-24€200kAtlético Madrileño
2024-12-13€200kAlbacete Balompié
2025-06-24€200kAlbacete Balompié
2025-09-30€500kFC Alverca
2025-12-18€500kFC Alverca
2026-05-28€800kFC Alverca

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−1.088

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Liga Portugal423 players · median €1M

Valued above 35% of the 423 Liga Portugal players.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 27% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€800kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Touaizi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).