FairValue

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Klisman

Cake

CBAlbania · Akhmat Grozny

№ 486204Emerging €1.1M +0.31

Player dossierPremier Liga

KlismanCake

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Akhmat Grozny
League
Premier Liga
Nationality
Albania
Age
27
Height
185 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
26 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Cake at €1.5M. Model A, which never saw Cake during training, estimates €1.1M: the market value is 37% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.37. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.31A €1.1M▼ −0.05B €1.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
20
Minutes
1,847
Goals
1
Assists
1
Started
20/20
Min / app
92
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Cake…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.5MModel A €1.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Klisman Cake's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 63rd, Assists per 90 56th, Minutes, two years 30th, Starts 97th, Minutes, last 365 days 56th, European club minutes 98th63rdGoals56thAssists30thMinutes97thStarts56thRecent98thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

42% this player0% defender median98th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Jun 2017
Peak
€1.5M
May 2026
Model target
€1.5M
May 2026
Valuations
18
3 club changes
May 2026€1.5MAkhmat GroznyValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.5M, Akhmat Grozny. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-06-14€100kKF Tirana
2019-01-09€100kKF Tirana
2019-12-12€100kStruga Trim & Lum
2020-12-19€250kStruga Trim & Lum
2021-05-18€300kStruga Trim & Lum
2021-12-16€400kStruga Trim & Lum
2022-05-17€350kShkendija Tetovo
2022-12-15€350kShkendija Tetovo
2023-05-19€500kShkendija Tetovo
2023-12-14€500kShkendija Tetovo
2024-05-22€600kShkendija Tetovo
2024-10-17€600kShkendija Tetovo
2024-12-17€600kShkendija Tetovo
2025-05-23€600kShkendija Tetovo
2025-10-20€700kShkendija Tetovo
2025-12-18€700kShkendija Tetovo
2026-03-25€900kAkhmat Grozny
2026-05-26€1.5MAkhmat Grozny

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.312

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liga412 players · median €1M

Valued above 57% of the 412 Premier Liga players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 43% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Cake appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).