Lucas
Chevalier
GKFrance · Paris Saint-Germain
Player dossierLigue 1
LucasChevalier
GKGoalkeeperGoalkeeper
- Club
- Paris Saint-Germain
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 24
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Chevalier at €25M. Model A, which never saw Chevalier during training, estimates €23.5M: the market value is 6% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.06. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €13.5M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 73
- Minutes
- 6,600
- Started
- 73/73
- Min / app
- 90
- Cards
- 1Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Chevalier…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €25M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 485 goalkeepers
Dashed ring: the goalkeeper median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
29% this player0% goalkeeper median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €300k
- Aug 2020
- Peak
- €40M
- Oct 2025
- Model target
- €25M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €25M, Paris Saint-Germain. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2020-08-03 | €300k | LOSC Lille |
| 2020-10-15 | €300k | LOSC Lille |
| 2021-01-07 | €500k | LOSC Lille |
| 2021-06-04 | €500k | LOSC Lille |
| 2021-10-27 | €800k | Valenciennes FC |
| 2021-12-27 | €1.2M | Valenciennes FC |
| 2022-03-24 | €2M | Valenciennes FC |
| 2022-06-02 | €2.5M | Valenciennes FC |
| 2022-11-02 | €5M | LOSC Lille |
| 2023-03-27 | €10M | LOSC Lille |
| 2023-06-27 | €10M | LOSC Lille |
| 2023-12-18 | €18M | LOSC Lille |
| 2024-03-19 | €22M | LOSC Lille |
| 2024-06-03 | €25M | LOSC Lille |
| 2024-12-10 | €30M | LOSC Lille |
| 2025-06-03 | €30M | LOSC Lille |
| 2025-10-10 | €40M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2025-12-15 | €35M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2026-03-27 | €30M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2026-06-01 | €25M | Paris Saint-Germain |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.060
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 89% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Goalkeepers, all leagues485 players · median €1M
Valued above 96% of the 485 goalkeepers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Chevalier appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- ZakariaDMAS Monaco · Ligue 1€25M
- TimberCMOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€25M
- NgoyCBLOSC Lille · Ligue 1€25M
- EmeghaCFRC Strasbourg Alsace · Ligue 1€25M
- AtuboluGKSC Freiburg · goalkeepers€25M
- TrubinGKSL Benfica · goalkeepers€25M
- TraffordGKManchester City · goalkeepers€25M
- PendersGKRC Strasbourg Alsace · goalkeepers€25M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).