FairValue

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Portrait of Emmanuel Emegha

Emmanuel

Emegha

CFNetherlands · RC Strasbourg Alsace

№ 559328Elite €13.6M +0.61

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierLigue 1

EmmanuelEmegha

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
RC Strasbourg Alsace
League
Ligue 1
Nationality
Netherlands
Age
23
Height
196 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
1 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Emegha at €25M. Model A, which never saw Emegha during training, estimates €13.6M: the market value is 84% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.84. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €10.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.61A €13.6M▲ +0.85B €10.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
39
Minutes
2,904
Goals
20
Assists
5
Started
33/39
Min / app
74
Cards
9Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Emegha…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €25M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €25MModel A €13.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Emmanuel Emegha's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 95th, Assists per 90 53rd, Minutes, two years 65th, Starts 89th, Minutes, last 365 days 19th, European club minutes 64th95thGoals53rdAssists65thMinutes89thStarts19thRecent64thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.62 this player0.26 attacker median95th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●1.17

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Oct 2020
Peak
€28M
Dec 2025
Model target
€25M
Jun 2026
Valuations
18
3 club changes
Jun 2026€25MRC Strasbourg AlsaceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €25M, RC Strasbourg Alsace. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2020-10-14€200kSparta Rotterdam
2021-01-06€450kSparta Rotterdam
2021-05-19€450kSparta Rotterdam
2021-10-04€500kSparta Rotterdam
2022-01-05€500kSparta Rotterdam
2022-04-12€900kRoyal Antwerp FC
2022-09-20€1.5MSK Sturm Graz
2022-11-10€1.5MSK Sturm Graz
2023-06-12€8MSK Sturm Graz
2023-10-16€11MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2023-12-18€12MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2024-06-03€12MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2024-10-07€15MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2024-12-10€15MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2025-03-24€20MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2025-06-03€25MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2025-12-15€28MRC Strasbourg Alsace
2026-06-01€25MRC Strasbourg Alsace

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.608

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Ligue 1423 players · median €5M

Valued above 89% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.

€100k€750k€5M€30M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 90% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€25MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Emegha appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).