Denis
Zakaria
DMSwitzerland · AS Monaco
Player dossierLigue 1
DenisZakaria
DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- AS Monaco
- League
- Ligue 1
- Nationality
- Switzerland
- Age
- 29
- Height
- 189 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 1 Jun 2026
Ligue 1Reading the valuation
The market values Zakaria at €25M. Model A, which never saw Zakaria during training, estimates €11.8M: the market value is 111% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×2.11. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €9.4M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 64
- Minutes
- 5,393
- Goals
- 9
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 61/64
- Min / app
- 84
- Cards
- 15Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Zakaria…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €25M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
95% this player69% midfielder median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €100k
- Jun 2015
- Peak
- €45M
- Dec 2019
- Model target
- €25M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 34
- 5 club changes
Jun 2026: €25M, AS Monaco. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-06-18 | €100k | Servette FC |
| 2015-10-08 | €1M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2015-12-18 | €1.5M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2016-04-20 | €2.5M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2016-06-01 | €4M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2016-07-16 | €4M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2016-12-20 | €4M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2017-10-18 | €12M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2017-12-28 | €16M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-04-04 | €20M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-06-05 | €20M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2018-12-18 | €17M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2019-06-05 | €20M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2019-10-02 | €28M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2019-12-17 | €45M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2020-04-08 | €36M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2020-07-08 | €40M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-02-10 | €40M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-03-31 | €32M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-05-25 | €30M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-10-07 | €27M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2021-12-22 | €27M | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2022-06-07 | €27M | Juventus FC |
| 2022-11-03 | €20M | Chelsea FC |
| 2023-06-20 | €18M | Chelsea FC |
| 2023-10-16 | €20M | AS Monaco |
| 2023-12-18 | €22M | AS Monaco |
| 2024-03-19 | €25M | AS Monaco |
| 2024-06-03 | €25M | AS Monaco |
| 2024-10-07 | €28M | AS Monaco |
| 2024-12-10 | €30M | AS Monaco |
| 2025-06-03 | €30M | AS Monaco |
| 2025-12-15 | €25M | AS Monaco |
| 2026-06-01 | €25M | AS Monaco |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.748
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Ligue 1423 players · median €5M
Valued above 89% of the 423 Ligue 1 players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 91% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Zakaria appears
- TerminalLigue 1 in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLigue 1 on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- TimberCMOlympique Marseille · Ligue 1€25M
- ChevalierGKParis Saint-Germain · Ligue 1€25M
- NgoyCBLOSC Lille · Ligue 1€25M
- EmeghaCFRC Strasbourg Alsace · Ligue 1€25M
- LocatelliDMJuventus FC · midfielders€25M
- KluivertAMAFC Bournemouth · midfielders€25M
- AdamsDMAFC Bournemouth · midfielders€25M
- BergeDMFulham FC · midfielders€25M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).