Rigoberto
Rivas
LWHonduras · Kocaelispor
Player dossierSüper Lig
RigobertoRivas
LWLeft WingerAttack
- Club
- Kocaelispor
- League
- Süper Lig
- Nationality
- Honduras
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 178 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 21 May 2026
Süper LigReading the valuation
The market values Rivas at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Rivas during training, estimates €811k: the market value is 48% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.48. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €680k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 39
- Minutes
- 2,257
- Goals
- 2
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 25/39
- Min / app
- 58
- Cards
- 6Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rivas…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
64% this player59% attacker median58th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €75k
- Oct 2016
- Peak
- €2.3M
- Dec 2023
- Model target
- €1.2M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 25
- 6 club changes
May 2026: €1.2M, Kocaelispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-10-17 | €75k | Inter Milan Primavera |
| 2017-06-26 | €350k | Inter Milan Primavera |
| 2017-12-21 | €400k | Brescia Calcio (- 2025) |
| 2018-06-18 | €400k | Brescia Calcio (- 2025) |
| 2018-12-14 | €325k | Ternana Calcio |
| 2019-06-20 | €200k | Ternana Calcio |
| 2019-12-20 | €250k | Urbs Reggina 1914 |
| 2020-10-29 | €250k | Reggina 1914 |
| 2021-02-22 | €450k | Reggina 1914 |
| 2021-06-24 | €1M | Reggina 1914 |
| 2021-12-29 | €1.2M | Reggina 1914 |
| 2022-06-06 | €900k | Reggina 1914 |
| 2022-12-22 | €1.4M | Reggina 1914 |
| 2023-06-12 | €1.2M | Reggina 1914 |
| 2023-09-27 | €1.5M | Hatayspor |
| 2023-12-21 | €2.3M | Hatayspor |
| 2024-03-15 | €2M | Hatayspor |
| 2024-05-31 | €1.9M | Hatayspor |
| 2024-10-04 | €1.7M | Hatayspor |
| 2024-12-23 | €1.6M | Hatayspor |
| 2025-04-02 | €1.4M | Kocaelispor |
| 2025-06-25 | €1.4M | Kocaelispor |
| 2025-10-01 | €1.5M | Kocaelispor |
| 2025-12-17 | €1.2M | Kocaelispor |
| 2026-05-21 | €1.2M | Kocaelispor |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- non-UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.392
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M
Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Rivas appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- YokuşluDMTrabzonspor · Süper Lig€1.2M
- ThiamCFEyüpspor · Süper Lig€1.2M
- StormLWAntalyaspor · Süper Lig€1.2M
- HajradinovicAMKasimpasa · Süper Lig€1.2M
- SánchezSSSevilla FC · attackers€1.2M
- PerišićLWPSV Eindhoven · attackers€1.2M
- PortuRWGirona FC · attackers€1.2M
- BakambuCFReal Betis Balompié · attackers€1.2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).