FairValue

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Can

Keleş

RWAustria · Kocaelispor

№ 451642Emerging €751k +0.47

Player dossierSüper Lig

CanKeleş

RWRight WingerAttack

Club
Kocaelispor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Austria
Age
24
Height
180 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Keleş at €1.2M. Model A, which never saw Keleş during training, estimates €751k: the market value is 60% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.60. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.47A €751k▼ −0.19B €1.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
47
Minutes
1,719
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
16/47
Min / app
37
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Keleş…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1.2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1.2MModel A €751k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Can Keleş's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 25th, Assists per 90 73rd, Minutes, two years 37th, Starts 14th, Minutes, last 365 days 39th, European club minutes 57th25thGoals73rdAssists37thMinutes14thStarts39thRecent57thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.21 this player0.15 attacker median73rd percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€75k
Jul 2018
Peak
€2.2M
Oct 2024
Model target
€1.2M
May 2026
Valuations
23
5 club changes
May 2026€1.2MKocaelisporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1.2M, Kocaelispor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-07-02€75kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2018-12-01€50kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2019-06-01€50kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2019-12-03€50kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2020-07-31€200kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2020-12-19€250kYoung Violets Austria Wien
2021-06-02€300kAustria Vienna
2021-12-16€400kAustria Vienna
2022-05-27€700kAustria Vienna
2022-11-10€700kAustria Vienna
2023-06-12€600kAustria Vienna
2023-09-27€700kFatih Karagümrük
2023-12-21€1.4MFatih Karagümrük
2024-03-15€1.6MFatih Karagümrük
2024-05-31€2MFatih Karagümrük
2024-10-04€2.2MBesiktas JK
2024-12-23€2MBesiktas JK
2025-03-20€2MKasimpasa
2025-06-18€2.2MKasimpasa
2025-10-01€2MKocaelispor
2025-12-17€1.8MKocaelispor
2026-03-05€1.5MKocaelispor
2026-05-21€1.2MKocaelispor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.469

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 45% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 34% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1.2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Keleş appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).