FairValue

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Maksym

Grysyo

RBUkraine · Obolon Kyiv

№ 448783Emerging €233k −0.84

Player dossierPremier Liha

MaksymGrysyo

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
Obolon Kyiv
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
30
Height
172 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Grysyo at €100k. Model A, which never saw Grysyo during training, estimates €233k: the market value is 57% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.33. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €462k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.84A €233k▼ −1.53B €462k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
19
Minutes
1,104
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
13/19
Min / app
58
Cards
3Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Grysyo…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €233k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Maksym Grysyo's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 14th, Starts 25th, Minutes, last 365 days 3rd, European club minutes 30th18thGoals17thAssists14thMinutes25thStarts3rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

0% this player0% defender median30th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€100k
Sept 2016
Peak
€400k
Dec 2022
Model target
€100k
Jun 2026
Valuations
21
6 club changes
Jun 2026€100kObolon KyivValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €100k, Obolon Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-09-30€100kKarpaty Lviv
2017-01-03€300kKarpaty Lviv
2017-06-26€300kKarpaty Lviv
2018-01-04€250kRukh Vynnyky
2018-05-27€250kRukh Vynnyky
2018-12-02€200kRukh Vynnyky
2019-06-16€200kRukh Vynnyky
2020-01-08€100kKarpaty Lviv
2020-08-18€50kOPFC Cherkashchyna (-2021)
2021-01-14€200kPFC Lviv
2021-06-07€300kPFC Lviv
2021-12-20€300kPFC Lviv
2022-05-18€300kPFC Lviv
2022-12-06€400kPFC Lviv
2023-06-21€400kPFC Lviv
2023-10-25€300kWithout Club
2024-06-06€250kObolon Kyiv
2024-12-17€250kObolon Kyiv
2025-06-10€300kObolon Kyiv
2025-12-18€200kObolon Kyiv
2026-06-02€100kObolon Kyiv

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.844

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 0% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Grysyo appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).