Ruslan
Chernenko
CMUkraine · Obolon Kyiv
Player dossierPremier Liha
RuslanChernenko
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Obolon Kyiv
- League
- Premier Liha
- Nationality
- Ukraine
- Age
- 33
- Height
- 173 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 2 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Chernenko at €100k. Model A, which never saw Chernenko during training, estimates €179k: the market value is 44% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.79. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €486k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 47
- Minutes
- 3,049
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 3
- Started
- 37/47
- Min / app
- 65
- Cards
- 5Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Chernenko…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
79% this player69% midfielder median68th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Feb 2017
- Peak
- €350k
- Jun 2021
- Model target
- €100k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 20
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €100k, Obolon Kyiv. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-02-09 | €150k | Arsenal Kyiv |
| 2018-01-04 | €150k | Arsenal Kyiv |
| 2018-05-27 | €150k | Arsenal Kyiv |
| 2018-08-06 | €100k | Arsenal Kyiv |
| 2018-12-02 | €100k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2019-06-16 | €100k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2019-12-18 | €150k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2020-08-18 | €200k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2020-12-05 | €300k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2021-06-17 | €350k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2021-12-06 | €300k | Agrobiznes Volochysk |
| 2022-05-31 | €300k | Marek |
| 2022-12-06 | €300k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2023-06-21 | €300k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2023-12-11 | €200k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2024-06-06 | €200k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2024-12-17 | €200k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2025-06-10 | €200k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2025-12-18 | €150k | Obolon Kyiv |
| 2026-06-02 | €100k | Obolon Kyiv |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.583
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Premier Liha414 players · median €400k
Valued above 0% of the 414 Premier Liha players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 0% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Chernenko appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- SklyarCMChornomorets Odesa · Premier Liha€100k
- TanchykRBEpicentr Kamyanets-Podilskyi · Premier Liha€100k
- YermakovCBChornomorets Odesa · Premier Liha€100k
- PerdutaRBZorya Lugansk · Premier Liha€100k
- IvanovAMRubin Kazan · midfielders€100k
- NeiraAMOFI Crete · midfielders€100k
- SimãoCMFC Arouca · midfielders€100k
- ErokhinAMZenit St. Petersburg · midfielders€100k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).