FairValue

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Portrait of Dejan Kulusevski

Dejan

Kulusevski

AMSweden · Tottenham Hotspur

№ 431755Elite €16.1M +0.05

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierPremier League

DejanKulusevski

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Tottenham Hotspur
League
Premier League
Nationality
Sweden
Age
26
Height
186 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
3 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kulusevski at €17M. Model A, which never saw Kulusevski during training, estimates €16.1M: the market value is 5% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.05A €16.1M▲ +0.93B €6.7M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
45
Minutes
3,073
Goals
9
Assists
8
Started
31/45
Min / app
68
Cards
5Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kulusevski…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €17M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €17MModel A €16.1M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dejan Kulusevski's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 91st, Assists per 90 90th, Minutes, two years 58th, Starts 49th, Minutes, last 365 days 1st, European club minutes 81st91stGoals90thAssists58thMinutes49thStarts1stRecent81stEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.26 this player0.08 midfielder median91st percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.93

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€1M
Jun 2019
Peak
€60M
Dec 2024
Model target
€17M
Jun 2026
Valuations
24
3 club changes
Jun 2026€17MTottenham HotspurValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €17M, Tottenham Hotspur. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-06-17€1MAtalanta BC
2019-10-08€6MParma Calcio 1913
2019-12-12€25MParma Calcio 1913
2020-02-11€35MParma Calcio 1913
2020-04-08€31.5MParma Calcio 1913
2020-08-25€40MParma Calcio 1913
2020-10-29€45MJuventus FC
2020-12-29€45MJuventus FC
2021-05-31€40MJuventus FC
2021-10-14€35MJuventus FC
2021-12-28€30MJuventus FC
2022-03-29€35MTottenham Hotspur
2022-06-15€40MTottenham Hotspur
2022-09-15€50MTottenham Hotspur
2022-11-03€50MTottenham Hotspur
2023-03-16€55MTottenham Hotspur
2023-06-20€50MTottenham Hotspur
2023-12-19€55MTottenham Hotspur
2024-05-27€55MTottenham Hotspur
2024-12-16€60MTottenham Hotspur
2025-05-30€50MTottenham Hotspur
2025-12-09€45MTottenham Hotspur
2026-03-09€35MTottenham Hotspur
2026-06-03€17MTottenham Hotspur

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.052

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier League555 players · median €18M

Valued above 49% of the 555 Premier League players.

€150k€1M€7.5M€50M€17MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 87% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€17MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kulusevski appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).