Adrien
Rabiot
CMFrance · AC Milan
Close-up
Image: FootyLogos
Player dossierSerie A
AdrienRabiot
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- AC Milan
- League
- Serie A
- Nationality
- France
- Age
- 31
- Height
- 191 cm
- Foot
- Left
- Valued
- 29 May 2026
Serie AReading the valuation
The market values Rabiot at €18M. Model A, which never saw Rabiot during training, estimates €5.9M: the market value is 203% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×3.03. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.7M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 62
- Minutes
- 5,393
- Goals
- 15
- Assists
- 10
- Started
- 59/62
- Min / app
- 87
- Cards
- 10Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Rabiot…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €18M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
95% this player69% midfielder median93rd percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €400k
- Jul 2012
- Peak
- €50M
- Jun 2018
- Model target
- €18M
- May 2026
- Valuations
- 37
- 5 club changes
May 2026: €18M, AC Milan. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2012-07-25 | €400k | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2013-01-07 | €1.5M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2013-05-30 | €2.5M | FC Toulouse |
| 2014-01-14 | €3.5M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2014-08-01 | €4.5M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2015-01-14 | €5M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2015-06-06 | €8M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2016-02-04 | €10M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2016-07-13 | €12M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2017-01-16 | €12M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2017-06-01 | €18M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2017-10-12 | €25M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2018-01-24 | €45M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2018-06-04 | €50M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2018-12-17 | €50M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2019-03-07 | €35M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2019-06-03 | €35M | Paris Saint-Germain |
| 2019-12-12 | €32M | Juventus FC |
| 2020-04-08 | €25.5M | Juventus FC |
| 2020-08-25 | €28M | Juventus FC |
| 2020-12-29 | €32M | Juventus FC |
| 2021-06-01 | €30M | Juventus FC |
| 2021-12-28 | €22M | Juventus FC |
| 2022-03-15 | €18M | Juventus FC |
| 2022-06-07 | €17M | Juventus FC |
| 2022-11-11 | €18M | Juventus FC |
| 2022-12-23 | €25M | Juventus FC |
| 2023-03-21 | €30M | Juventus FC |
| 2023-06-15 | €40M | Juventus FC |
| 2023-12-20 | €40M | Juventus FC |
| 2024-06-05 | €35M | Juventus FC |
| 2024-10-07 | €30M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2024-12-10 | €25M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2025-06-03 | €25M | Olympique Marseille |
| 2025-10-07 | €20M | AC Milan |
| 2025-12-23 | €20M | AC Milan |
| 2026-05-29 | €18M | AC Milan |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +1.107
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Serie A507 players · median €5.5M
Valued above 81% of the 507 Serie A players.
See them in the Explorer →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 87% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Rabiot appears
- TerminalSerie A in the Player Explorer
- TerminalSerie A on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- GimenezCFAC Milan · Serie A€18M
- GhilardiCBAS Roma · Serie A€18M
- ComuzzoCBACF Fiorentina · Serie A€18M
- EkhatorCFGenoa CFC · Serie A€18M
- GolovinAMAS Monaco · midfielders€18M
- BarreiroCMSL Benfica · midfielders€18M
- O'RileyCMBrighton & Hove Albion · midfielders€18M
- LuizCMAston Villa · midfielders€18M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).