FairValue

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  • EnvironmentOverviewWhat FairValue measures, what it found, where to go next.
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Ilya

Putrya

RBUkraine · LNZ Cherkasy

№ 396400Emerging €644k −0.25

Player dossierPremier Liha

IlyaPutrya

RBRight-BackDefender

Club
LNZ Cherkasy
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
28
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Putrya at €500k. Model A, which never saw Putrya during training, estimates €644k: the market value is 22% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.29. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €986k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.25A €644k▼ −0.68B €986k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
2,897
Goals
3
Assists
2
Started
33/34
Min / app
85
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Putrya…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €644k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Ilya Putrya's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 85th, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 51st, Starts 90th, Minutes, last 365 days 6th, European club minutes 30th85thGoals64thAssists51stMinutes90thStarts6thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

97% this player83% defender median90th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€200k
Jun 2019
Peak
€800k
Jun 2024
Model target
€500k
Jun 2026
Valuations
15
2 club changes
Jun 2026€500kLNZ CherkasyValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €500k, LNZ Cherkasy. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2019-06-20€200kFC Mariupol
2020-01-08€300kFC Mariupol
2020-09-04€200kChornomorets Odesa
2020-12-05€200kChornomorets Odesa
2021-06-17€200kChornomorets Odesa
2021-12-20€300kChornomorets Odesa
2022-05-18€300kChornomorets Odesa
2022-12-06€400kChornomorets Odesa
2023-06-21€500kChornomorets Odesa
2023-12-11€700kChornomorets Odesa
2024-06-06€800kChornomorets Odesa
2024-12-17€800kLNZ Cherkasy
2025-06-10€700kLNZ Cherkasy
2025-12-18€500kLNZ Cherkasy
2026-06-02€500kLNZ Cherkasy

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.253

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 52% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 19% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Putrya appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).