FairValue

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Rayyan

Baniya

CBTürkiye · Konyaspor

№ 394872Emerging €426k +0.85

Player dossierSüper Lig

RayyanBaniya

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
Konyaspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
27
Height
194 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Baniya at €1M. Model A, which never saw Baniya during training, estimates €426k: the market value is 135% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.35. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €733k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.85A €426k▲ +0.31B €733k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
12
Minutes
514
Goals
0
Assists
0
Started
4/12
Min / app
43
Cards
1Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Baniya…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €426k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Rayyan Baniya's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 18th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 1st, Starts 1st, Minutes, last 365 days 8th, European club minutes 63rd18thGoals17thAssists1stMinutes1stStarts8thRecent63rdEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

2% this player0% defender median63rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Oct 2016
Peak
€3.5M
Sept 2023
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
24
8 club changes
May 2026€1MKonyasporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Konyaspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-10-31€50kHellas Verona Primavera
2017-06-26€50kHellas Verona Primavera
2018-06-30€50kHellas Verona Primavera
2019-02-05€50kMantova 1911
2019-06-22€75kMantova 1911
2019-12-16€100kAC Renate
2020-07-24€125kAC Renate
2021-01-12€100kMantova 1911
2021-06-22€100kMantova 1911
2021-10-12€100kFatih Karagümrük
2022-01-04€100kFatih Karagümrük
2022-03-31€100kFatih Karagümrük
2022-06-01€75kFatih Karagümrük
2022-10-27€350kFatih Karagümrük
2023-03-14€850kFatih Karagümrük
2023-06-08€2.7MFatih Karagümrük
2023-09-27€3.5MTrabzonspor
2023-12-21€3.5MTrabzonspor
2024-03-15€3MTrabzonspor
2024-05-31€2.5MTrabzonspor
2024-12-23€2.5MPalermo FC
2025-06-02€1.8MPalermo FC
2025-12-17€1.5MTrabzonspor
2026-05-21€1MKonyaspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.854

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 40% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 35% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Baniya appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).