FairValue

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Emre

Kılınç

LWTürkiye · Samsunspor

№ 208848Emerging €1.7M −0.56

Player dossierSüper Lig

EmreKılınç

LWLeft WingerAttack

Club
Samsunspor
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
31
Height
174 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
21 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kılınç at €1M. Model A, which never saw Kılınç during training, estimates €1.7M: the market value is 43% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.74. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.4M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.56A €1.7M▼ −0.32B €1.4M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
49
Minutes
3,794
Goals
4
Assists
18
Started
46/49
Min / app
77
Cards
13Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kılınç…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €1M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €1MModel A €1.7M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Emre Kılınç's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 13th, Assists per 90 98th, Minutes, two years 79th, Starts 98th, Minutes, last 365 days 58th, European club minutes 61st13thGoals98thAssists79thMinutes98thStarts58thRecent61stEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

94% this player59% attacker median98th percentile

5%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Dec 2011
Peak
€6.5M
Dec 2020
Model target
€1M
May 2026
Valuations
41
4 club changes
May 2026€1MSamsunsporValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €1M, Samsunspor. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2011-12-29€50kBoluspor
2012-06-19€50kBoluspor
2013-01-06€100kBoluspor
2013-07-05€300kBoluspor
2014-01-20€600kBoluspor
2014-07-01€600kBoluspor
2015-01-05€1.5MBoluspor
2015-06-08€1.8MBoluspor
2016-01-04€1.5MBoluspor
2016-07-14€1.5MBoluspor
2017-01-09€1MBoluspor
2017-06-30€1MSivasspor
2018-02-12€1.8MSivasspor
2018-05-29€2.5MSivasspor
2019-01-04€3MSivasspor
2019-06-04€3.5MSivasspor
2020-01-03€5.5MSivasspor
2020-04-08€4.5MSivasspor
2020-08-04€5.5MSivasspor
2020-12-23€6.5MGalatasaray
2021-03-16€6MGalatasaray
2021-05-21€5MGalatasaray
2021-10-12€4.6MGalatasaray
2022-01-04€3.6MGalatasaray
2022-03-31€3.4MGalatasaray
2022-06-01€3MGalatasaray
2022-10-27€3MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-03-14€3MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-06-08€2.8MMKE Ankaragücü
2023-09-27€2.5MSamsunspor
2023-12-21€2.3MSamsunspor
2024-03-15€2MSamsunspor
2024-05-31€2MSamsunspor
2024-10-04€1.7MSamsunspor
2024-12-23€1.7MSamsunspor
2025-03-20€1.7MSamsunspor
2025-06-18€1.8MSamsunspor
2025-10-01€1.5MSamsunspor
2025-12-17€1.5MSamsunspor
2026-03-05€1.2MSamsunspor
2026-05-21€1MSamsunspor

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.555

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 40% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 29% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€1MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kılınç appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).