Filip
Ugrinic
CMSwitzerland · Valencia CF
Player dossierLaLiga
FilipUgrinic
CMCentral MidfieldMidfield
- Club
- Valencia CF
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Switzerland
- Age
- 27
- Height
- 184 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
LaLigaReading the valuation
The market values Ugrinic at €6M. Model A, which never saw Ugrinic during training, estimates €5.5M: the market value is 8% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.08. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €6.3M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 39
- Minutes
- 2,467
- Goals
- 1
- Assists
- 5
- Started
- 28/39
- Min / app
- 63
- Cards
- 7Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ugrinic…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders
Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)
European club minutes
Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.
31% this player0% midfielder median96th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €25k
- Dec 2016
- Peak
- €7M
- Sept 2024
- Model target
- €6M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 28
- 5 club changes
Jun 2026: €6M, Valencia CF. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2016-12-20 | €25k | FC Luzern U21 |
| 2017-04-14 | €300k | FC Luzern U21 |
| 2017-07-12 | €500k | FC Luzern |
| 2018-01-08 | €750k | FC Luzern |
| 2018-04-24 | €750k | FC Luzern |
| 2018-07-12 | €1.5M | FC Luzern |
| 2019-01-21 | €1.5M | FC Luzern |
| 2019-04-15 | €1.5M | FC Luzern |
| 2019-06-04 | €750k | FC Luzern |
| 2019-12-18 | €600k | FC Emmen |
| 2020-04-08 | €525k | FC Emmen |
| 2020-07-31 | €525k | FC Luzern |
| 2020-12-28 | €700k | FC Luzern |
| 2021-04-15 | €1M | FC Luzern |
| 2021-06-23 | €1.5M | FC Luzern |
| 2022-01-03 | €2M | FC Luzern |
| 2022-06-08 | €2.5M | FC Luzern |
| 2022-11-10 | €2.7M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2023-06-07 | €2.7M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2023-10-19 | €4M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2023-12-21 | €5M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2024-03-26 | €5.5M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2024-05-31 | €6M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2024-09-27 | €7M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2024-12-23 | €7M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2025-06-10 | €7M | BSC Young Boys |
| 2025-12-12 | €6M | Valencia CF |
| 2026-06-05 | €6M | Valencia CF |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.079
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M
Valued above 69% of the 1,687 midfielders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Ugrinic appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- RüdigerCBReal Madrid · LaLiga€6M
- GuedesLWReal Sociedad · LaLiga€6M
- FidalgoCMReal Betis Balompié · LaLiga€6M
- BatallaGKRayo Vallecano · LaLiga€6M
- CasemiroDMManchester United · midfielders€6M
- SabitzerCMBorussia Dortmund · midfielders€6M
- AndrichDMBayer 04 Leverkusen · midfielders€6M
- PašalićCMAtalanta BC · midfielders€6M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).