FairValue

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Portrait of Robert Andrich

Robert

Andrich

DMGermany · Bayer 04 Leverkusen

№ 159088Established €5M +0.19

Image: FootyLogos

Player dossierBundesliga

RobertAndrich

DMDefensive MidfieldMidfield

Club
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
League
Bundesliga
Nationality
Germany
Age
31
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
27 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Andrich at €6M. Model A, which never saw Andrich during training, estimates €5M: the market value is 21% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.21. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €3.8M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.19A €5M▲ +0.46B €3.8M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
81
Minutes
5,934
Goals
5
Assists
4
Started
68/81
Min / app
73
Cards
17Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Andrich…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €6M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €6MModel A €5M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Robert Andrich's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 47th, Assists per 90 34th, Minutes, two years 94th, Starts 77th, Minutes, last 365 days 98th, European club minutes 80th47thGoals34thAssists94thMinutes77thStarts98thRecent80thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Minutes, last 365 days

Club minutes in the final year of the window: recent involvement, or the absence of it.

3,765 this player1,541 midfielder median98th percentile

0peer deciles · median line · this player ●4,800

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Jan 2013
Peak
€17M
May 2024
Model target
€6M
May 2026
Valuations
33
6 club changes
May 2026€6MBayer 04 LeverkusenValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €6M, Bayer 04 Leverkusen. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2013-01-14€25kHertha BSC U19
2013-04-12€150kHertha BSC U19
2013-06-29€150kHertha BSC U19
2014-07-17€125kHertha BSC II
2015-03-07€150kSG Dynamo Dresden
2015-07-01€150kSG Dynamo Dresden
2016-02-08€175kSG Dynamo Dresden
2016-07-14€200kSV Wehen Wiesbaden
2016-10-08€275kSV Wehen Wiesbaden
2017-02-10€275kSV Wehen Wiesbaden
2017-06-14€300kSV Wehen Wiesbaden
2018-01-19€350kSV Wehen Wiesbaden
2018-06-08€350kSV Wehen Wiesbaden
2019-01-08€450k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2019-06-12€600k1.FC Heidenheim 1846
2019-10-02€1M1.FC Union Berlin
2019-12-17€2M1.FC Union Berlin
2020-03-11€3M1.FC Union Berlin
2020-04-08€2.4M1.FC Union Berlin
2020-07-08€4M1.FC Union Berlin
2021-02-10€6M1.FC Union Berlin
2021-06-09€7M1.FC Union Berlin
2021-12-22€11MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2022-03-24€13MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2022-06-09€13MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2022-11-09€11MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2023-06-22€11MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2023-12-14€11MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2024-05-29€17MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2024-12-20€15MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2025-06-05€9MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2025-12-19€7MBayer 04 Leverkusen
2026-05-27€6MBayer 04 Leverkusen

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.191

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Bundesliga451 players · median €5M

Valued above 53% of the 451 Bundesliga players.

€300k€2M€15M€100M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 69% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€6MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Andrich appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).