FairValue

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Luka

Ivanušec

AMCroatia · PAOK Thessaloniki

№ 387105Established €2.6M +0.14

Player dossierSuper League

LukaIvanušec

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
PAOK Thessaloniki
League
Super League
Nationality
Croatia
Age
27
Height
175 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Ivanušec at €3M. Model A, which never saw Ivanušec during training, estimates €2.6M: the market value is 15% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.15. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.6M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.14A €2.6M▲ +0.12B €2.6M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
50
Minutes
1,808
Goals
3
Assists
4
Started
20/50
Min / app
36
Cards
6Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Ivanušec…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €3M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €3MModel A €2.6M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Luka Ivanušec's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 72nd, Assists per 90 84th, Minutes, two years 32nd, Starts 12th, Minutes, last 365 days 34th, European club minutes 94th72ndGoals84thAssists32ndMinutes12thStarts34thRecent94thEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

28% this player0% midfielder median94th percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Sept 2016
Peak
€13.5M
May 2021
Model target
€3M
Jun 2026
Valuations
26
3 club changes
Jun 2026€3MPAOK ThessalonikiValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €3M, PAOK Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2016-09-14€150kNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2017-03-13€1MNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2017-10-23€1MNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2018-03-18€1MNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2018-09-25€1MNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2019-03-11€1.4MNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
2019-09-16€3MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2019-12-27€4MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2020-04-08€3.6MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2020-07-27€4MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2020-12-28€5.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2021-05-28€13.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2021-12-30€13.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2022-03-22€12.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2022-06-06€12.5MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2022-11-08€10MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2023-06-06€12MGNK Dinamo Zagreb
2023-12-15€12MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-05-31€12MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-10-14€8MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2024-12-17€6MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2025-03-28€5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2025-05-28€3.5MFeyenoord Rotterdam
2025-12-12€3.5MPAOK Thessaloniki
2026-03-06€3MPAOK Thessaloniki
2026-06-04€3MPAOK Thessaloniki

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.139

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 86% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 56% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€3MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Ivanušec appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).