FairValue

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Igor

Kotsyumaka

LBUkraine · SC Poltava

№ 381299Emerging €159k −0.46

Player dossierPremier Liha

IgorKotsyumaka

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
SC Poltava
League
Premier Liha
Nationality
Ukraine
Age
31
Height
178 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
2 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Kotsyumaka at €100k. Model A, which never saw Kotsyumaka during training, estimates €159k: the market value is 37% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.59. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €627k, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.46A €159k▼ −1.84B €627k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,473
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
15/23
Min / app
64
Cards
3Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Kotsyumaka…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €100k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €100kModel A €159k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Igor Kotsyumaka's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 70th, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 22nd, Starts 21st, Minutes, last 365 days 43rd, European club minutes 30th70thGoals17thAssists22ndMinutes21stStarts43rdRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Goals per 90

Club goals per 90 minutes played in the two years to the valuation date.

0.06 this player0.03 defender median70th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.41

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2017
Peak
€150k
Jun 2025
Model target
€100k
Jun 2026
Valuations
17
5 club changes
Jun 2026€100kSC PoltavaValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €100k, SC Poltava. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2017-02-09€50kIngulets Petrove
2018-01-04€50kIngulets-2 Petrove
2018-05-27€25kIngulets-2 Petrove
2018-12-02€25kIngulets Petrove
2019-06-16€25kIngulets Petrove
2020-08-18€25kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2021-07-27€25kKryvbas Kryvyi Rig
2022-08-31€10kSkoruk Tomakivka ( -2023)
2022-12-06€25kSkoruk Tomakivka ( -2023)
2023-06-21€50kSkoruk Tomakivka ( -2023)
2023-12-11€75kSC Poltava
2024-06-06€75kSC Poltava
2024-12-17€75kSC Poltava
2025-06-10€150kSC Poltava
2025-09-10€100kSC Poltava
2025-12-18€100kSC Poltava
2026-06-02€100kSC Poltava

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.465

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Premier Liha414 players · median €400k

Valued above 0% of the 414 Premier Liha players.

€50k€200k€1M€5M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 1% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€100kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Kotsyumaka appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).