FairValue

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Dani

Silva

CMPortugal · FC Midtjylland

№ 372445Established €4M −0.48

Player dossierSuperliga

DaniSilva

CMCentral MidfieldMidfield

Club
FC Midtjylland
League
Superliga
Nationality
Portugal
Age
25
Height
180 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
15 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Silva at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Silva during training, estimates €4M: the market value is 38% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.61. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €2.5M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.48A €4M▲ 0.00B €2.5M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
53
Minutes
2,087
Goals
1
Assists
3
Started
20/53
Min / app
39
Cards
6Y 1R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Silva…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Dani Silva's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 30th, Assists per 90 64th, Minutes, two years 39th, Starts 10th, Minutes, last 365 days 35th, European club minutes 73rd30thGoals64thAssists39thMinutes10thStarts35thRecent73rdEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

European club minutes

Share of minutes played in UEFA club competitions.

11% this player0% midfielder median73rd percentile

0%peer deciles · median line · this player ●85%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€300k
Aug 2022
Peak
€2.5M
Jun 2025
Model target
€2.5M
Dec 2025
Valuations
9
2 club changes
Dec 2025€2.5MFC MidtjyllandValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €2.5M, FC Midtjylland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2022-08-01€300kVitória Guimarães SC
2022-11-01€300kVitória Guimarães SC
2023-03-02€1MVitória Guimarães SC
2023-06-16€2MVitória Guimarães SC
2023-12-27€2MVitória Guimarães SC
2024-06-05€2MHellas Verona
2024-12-18€1.5MHellas Verona
2025-06-16€2.5MFC Midtjylland
2025-12-15€2.5MFC Midtjylland

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.479

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 77% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 51% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Silva appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).