FairValue

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Nikolas

Dyhr

LBDenmark · Randers FC

№ 462837Established €1.3M +0.68

Player dossierSuperliga

NikolasDyhr

LBLeft-BackDefender

Club
Randers FC
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
24
Height
179 cm
Foot
Left
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Dyhr at €2.5M. Model A, which never saw Dyhr during training, estimates €1.3M: the market value is 97% above that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.97. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▲ +0.68A €1.3M▲ +0.72B €1.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
42
Minutes
3,503
Goals
1
Assists
5
Started
40/42
Min / app
83
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Dyhr…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2.5M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2.5MModel A €1.3M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Nikolas Dyhr's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 45th, Assists per 90 84th, Minutes, two years 62nd, Starts 85th, Minutes, last 365 days 59th, European club minutes 30th45thGoals84thAssists62ndMinutes85thStarts59thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

95% this player83% defender median85th percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Dec 2018
Peak
€2.5M
May 2026
Model target
€2.5M
May 2026
Valuations
17
7 club changes
May 2026€2.5MRanders FCValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €2.5M, Randers FC. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2018-12-21€25kFC Midtjylland U19
2019-09-09€300kFC Midtjylland
2019-12-22€1.5MFC Midtjylland
2020-04-08€1.3MFC Midtjylland
2020-07-31€1MFC Midtjylland
2020-12-23€700kFC Midtjylland
2021-06-04€700kAC Horsens
2021-12-28€1MFC Midtjylland
2022-06-20€1.5MFC Midtjylland
2022-12-22€1.5MFC Midtjylland
2023-06-09€1MKV Kortrijk
2023-12-21€1.5MFC Midtjylland
2024-06-13€1.2MSt. Louis CITY SC
2024-12-09€1.2MRanders FC
2025-06-16€1.5MRanders FC
2025-12-15€2.2MRanders FC
2026-05-25€2.5MRanders FC

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
+0.679

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 77% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 54% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€2.5MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Dyhr appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).