Loren
Morón
Player dossierSuper League
LorenMorón
CFCentre-ForwardAttack
- Club
- Aris Thessaloniki
- League
- Super League
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 185 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 4 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Morón at €2M. Model A, which never saw Morón during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 69% above that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.69. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €1M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 56
- Minutes
- 4,415
- Goals
- 24
- Assists
- 2
- Started
- 49/56
- Min / app
- 79
- Cards
- 9Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Morón…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers
Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
88% this player59% attacker median91st percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €150k
- Aug 2017
- Peak
- €20M
- Dec 2019
- Model target
- €2M
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 22
- 5 club changes
Jun 2026: €2M, Aris Thessaloniki. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2017-08-17 | €150k | Betis Deportivo Balompié |
| 2018-01-01 | €400k | Betis Deportivo Balompié |
| 2018-03-22 | €7.5M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2018-05-30 | €7.5M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2018-07-30 | €15M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2018-12-21 | €15M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2019-06-11 | €10M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2019-12-20 | €20M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2020-04-08 | €16M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2020-10-08 | €15M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2021-01-05 | €12M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2021-06-10 | €9M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2021-12-30 | €5M | RCD Espanyol Barcelona |
| 2022-06-03 | €4M | RCD Espanyol Barcelona |
| 2022-11-07 | €2.5M | Real Betis Balompié |
| 2023-06-14 | €2M | UD Las Palmas |
| 2023-12-20 | €2.5M | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2024-05-30 | €3M | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2024-12-18 | €3M | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2025-05-23 | €3M | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2025-12-12 | €2.5M | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 2026-06-04 | €2M | Aris Thessaloniki |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- +0.526
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Super League356 players · median €600k
Valued above 79% of the 356 Super League players.
See them in the Explorer →Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M
Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.
See them in the Explorer →Where Morón appears
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- KędzioraRBPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€2M
- JedvajCBPanathinaikos · Super League€2M
- BabaLBPAOK Thessaloniki · Super League€2M
- JensenAMAris Thessaloniki · Super League€2M
- BerghuisRWAjax Amsterdam · attackers€2M
- BatshuayiCFEintracht Frankfurt · attackers€2M
- WaldschmidtCF1.FC Köln · attackers€2M
- WeghorstCFAjax Amsterdam · attackers€2M
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).

