Dani
Calvo
Player dossierLaLiga
DaniCalvo
CBCentre-BackDefender
- Club
- Real Oviedo
- League
- LaLiga
- Nationality
- Spain
- Age
- 32
- Height
- 193 cm
- Foot
- Right
- Valued
- 5 Jun 2026
Reading the valuation
The market values Calvo at €900k. Model A, which never saw Calvo during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 23% below that estimate.
That is a factor of ×1.30. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.
Without league and club, Model B estimates €980k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).
A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.
- Apps
- 21
- Minutes
- 1,729
- Goals
- 0
- Assists
- 0
- Started
- 18/21
- Min / app
- 82
- Cards
- 3Y 0R
Club matches, two years to the valuation date
The Valuation Journey
What moves Model A
Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Calvo…
SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.
Model A vs Model B against the observed €900k
Checking APIAsking the prediction API…
Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).
Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders
Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)
Starts
Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.
86% this player83% defender median57th percentile
No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.
Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record
- First valuation
- €200k
- May 2015
- Peak
- €1.5M
- Jun 2021
- Model target
- €900k
- Jun 2026
- Valuations
- 25
- 3 club changes
Jun 2026: €900k, Real Oviedo. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.
Show as a table
| Date | Market value | Club |
|---|---|---|
| 2015-05-10 | €200k | CD Numancia B |
| 2015-07-01 | €200k | CD Numancia |
| 2016-07-15 | €300k | CD Numancia |
| 2016-10-27 | €200k | CD Numancia |
| 2017-01-24 | €200k | CD Numancia |
| 2017-06-29 | €500k | CD Numancia |
| 2018-01-01 | €800k | CD Numancia |
| 2018-05-30 | €800k | CD Numancia |
| 2019-02-19 | €800k | Elche CF |
| 2019-06-29 | €800k | Elche CF |
| 2019-12-20 | €800k | Elche CF |
| 2020-04-08 | €650k | Elche CF |
| 2020-10-08 | €1M | Elche CF |
| 2021-01-05 | €1M | Elche CF |
| 2021-06-10 | €1.5M | Elche CF |
| 2021-12-27 | €1.5M | Real Oviedo |
| 2022-06-29 | €1.5M | Real Oviedo |
| 2022-12-29 | €1.5M | Real Oviedo |
| 2023-06-14 | €1.5M | Real Oviedo |
| 2023-12-20 | €1.5M | Real Oviedo |
| 2024-06-24 | €1.5M | Real Oviedo |
| 2024-12-13 | €1.2M | Real Oviedo |
| 2025-06-24 | €1.2M | Real Oviedo |
| 2025-12-12 | €1M | Real Oviedo |
| 2026-06-05 | €900k | Real Oviedo |
Audit context group-level, not about this player
- Audit group
- UEFA
- Population gap, Model A
- +0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
- This player, market vs held-out A
- −0.265
The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit
In context observed value among comparable players in this build
All players in the Terminal →Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M
Valued above 33% of the 2,065 defenders.
See them in the Explorer →Where Calvo appears
- TerminalLaLiga in the Player Explorer
- TerminalLaLiga on the League Landscape
Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.
Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position
- BartraCBReal Betis Balompié · LaLiga€900k
- CabreraCBRCD Espanyol Barcelona · LaLiga€900k
- FoulquierRBValencia CF · LaLiga€900k
- ÁlvarezCBAthletic Bilbao · LaLiga€900k
- BiraghiLBTorino FC · defenders€900k
- AlitiCBAlanyaspor · defenders€900k
- SundbergCBAris Thessaloniki · defenders€900k
- MoufiRBFC Orenburg · defenders€900k
Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).