FairValue

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Mehdi

Taremi

CFIran · Olympiacos Piraeus

№ 307058Established €2.4M −0.17

Player dossierSuper League

MehdiTaremi

CFCentre-ForwardAttack

Club
Olympiacos Piraeus
League
Super League
Nationality
Iran
Age
33
Height
187 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
4 Jun 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Taremi at €2M. Model A, which never saw Taremi during training, estimates €2.4M: the market value is 16% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.19. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €4.2M, further from the market. Model B is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07): league and club explain much of how the market prices players.

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.17A €2.4M▼ −0.74B €4.2M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
76
Minutes
3,720
Goals
18
Assists
15
Started
37/76
Min / app
49
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Taremi…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €2M

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €2MModel A €2.4M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,583 attackers

Mehdi Taremi's percentiles among attackers: Goals per 90 81st, Assists per 90 96th, Minutes, two years 77th, Starts 33rd, Minutes, last 365 days 68th, European club minutes 96th81stGoals96thAssists77thMinutes33rdStarts68thRecent96thEurope

Dashed ring: the attacker median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.36 this player0.15 attacker median96th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.73

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€150k
Feb 2014
Peak
€20M
May 2022
Model target
€2M
Jun 2026
Valuations
32
6 club changes
Jun 2026€2MOlympiacos PiraeusValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Jun 2026: €2M, Olympiacos Piraeus. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-02-10€150kIranjavan FC
2014-06-30€175kIranjavan FC
2015-01-10€400kPersepolis FC
2015-06-30€800kPersepolis FC
2016-01-01€1MPersepolis FC
2016-06-10€1.2MPersepolis FC
2017-01-09€1.2MPersepolis FC
2017-07-10€2MPersepolis FC
2018-01-09€2MPersepolis FC
2018-05-09€1.7MAl-Gharafa SC
2019-05-03€1.7MAl-Gharafa SC
2019-10-11€2.5MRio Ave FC
2019-12-30€3MRio Ave FC
2020-02-11€4MRio Ave FC
2020-04-08€3.2MRio Ave FC
2020-08-17€10MRio Ave FC
2021-01-28€12MFC Porto
2021-05-21€16MFC Porto
2021-12-27€15MFC Porto
2022-03-10€17MFC Porto
2022-05-31€20MFC Porto
2022-11-01€20MFC Porto
2023-06-16€18MFC Porto
2023-12-27€12MFC Porto
2024-03-08€10MFC Porto
2024-06-06€10MFC Porto
2024-12-18€8MInter Milan
2025-03-25€5MInter Milan
2025-06-17€3.5MInter Milan
2025-09-23€3MOlympiacos Piraeus
2025-12-12€2.5MOlympiacos Piraeus
2026-06-04€2MOlympiacos Piraeus

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
non-UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.171

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Super League356 players · median €600k

Valued above 79% of the 356 Super League players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Attackers, all leagues1,583 players · median €2.5M

Valued above 44% of the 1,583 attackers.

€20k€300k€5M€75M€2MSee them in the Explorer →

Where Taremi appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).