FairValue

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Mert Hakan

Yandaş

AMTürkiye · Fenerbahce

№ 306462Emerging €1.2M −0.89

Player dossierSüper Lig

Mert HakanYandaş

AMAttacking MidfieldMidfield

Club
Fenerbahce
League
Süper Lig
Nationality
Türkiye
Age
31
Height
174 cm
Foot
Right
Valued
17 Dec 2025

Reading the valuation

The market values Yandaş at €500k. Model A, which never saw Yandaş during training, estimates €1.2M: the market value is 59% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×2.43. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is larger than its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €1.1M, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.89A €1.2M▼ −0.83B €1.1M
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
34
Minutes
935
Goals
2
Assists
4
Started
10/34
Min / app
28
Cards
7Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Yandaş…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €1.2M

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 1,687 midfielders

Mert Hakan Yandaş's percentiles among midfielders: Goals per 90 81st, Assists per 90 98th, Minutes, two years 12th, Starts 5th, Minutes, last 365 days 5th, European club minutes 93rd81stGoals98thAssists12thMinutes5thStarts5thRecent93rdEurope

Dashed ring: the midfielder median (50th percentile)

Assists per 90

Club assists per 90 minutes in the same window.

0.39 this player0.09 midfielder median98th percentile

0.00peer deciles · median line · this player ●0.74

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€25k
Mar 2014
Peak
€3.5M
Jun 2022
Model target
€500k
Dec 2025
Valuations
33
4 club changes
Dec 2025€500kFenerbahceValuation the model is trained to reproduce

Dec 2025: €500k, Fenerbahce. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2014-03-19€25kAltinordu FK
2014-07-08€50kAltinordu FK
2015-07-22€200kAltinordu FK
2016-07-14€300kTire 1922 Spor
2017-06-30€350kMenemen Belediye Spor
2018-02-12€475kSivasspor
2018-05-29€475kSivasspor
2019-01-04€300kSivasspor
2019-06-04€200kSivasspor
2019-10-04€600kSivasspor
2020-01-03€2MSivasspor
2020-04-08€1.6MSivasspor
2020-08-04€2.8MSivasspor
2020-12-23€2.5MFenerbahce
2021-03-16€2MFenerbahce
2021-05-21€2.4MFenerbahce
2021-10-12€2.1MFenerbahce
2022-01-04€2.2MFenerbahce
2022-03-31€2.3MFenerbahce
2022-06-01€3.5MFenerbahce
2022-10-27€3MFenerbahce
2023-03-14€2.3MFenerbahce
2023-06-08€2MFenerbahce
2023-09-27€2.2MFenerbahce
2023-12-21€1.8MFenerbahce
2024-03-15€1.8MFenerbahce
2024-05-31€1.3MFenerbahce
2024-10-04€1.1MFenerbahce
2024-12-23€1.1MFenerbahce
2025-03-20€1MFenerbahce
2025-06-18€800kFenerbahce
2025-10-01€700kFenerbahce
2025-12-17€500kFenerbahce

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.889

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Süper Lig428 players · median €1.2M

Valued above 20% of the 428 Süper Lig players.

€50k€300k€2M€15M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Midfielders, all leagues1,687 players · median €2M

Valued above 16% of the 1,687 midfielders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Yandaş appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).