FairValue

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Tobias

Salquist

CBDenmark · FC Nordsjaelland

№ 297990Emerging €527k −0.05

Player dossierSuperliga

TobiasSalquist

CBCentre-BackDefender

Club
FC Nordsjaelland
League
Superliga
Nationality
Denmark
Age
31
Height
190 cm
Foot
Both
Valued
25 May 2026

Reading the valuation

The market values Salquist at €500k. Model A, which never saw Salquist during training, estimates €527k: the market value is 5% below that estimate.

That is a factor of ×1.05. Model A's typical held-out miss is ×1.50 either way, so this gap is within its usual error.

Without league and club, Model B estimates €494k, closer to the market here, although it is usually further off (typical miss ×2.07).

A gap describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what the player is worth.

▼ −0.05A €527k▲ +0.01B €494k
Pitch length is a log value scale fitted to this player's figures. ● observed · ◇ Model A · dashed ◇ Model B · each arc is a residual, log(observed) − log(estimate).
Apps
23
Minutes
1,851
Goals
1
Assists
0
Started
21/23
Min / app
80
Cards
4Y 0R

Club matches, two years to the valuation date

The Valuation Journey

What moves Model A

Asking the prediction API to explain Model A for Salquist…

SHAP describes the model's arithmetic for this player's inputs, not what causes market value. Model B can be explained only by the live service; Model A also has a published explanation for the research players.

Model A vs Model B against the observed €500k

Checking API
EmergingEstablishedEliteWorld Class€2M€10M€30M€100k€1M€100MMarket €500kModel A €527k

Asking the prediction API…

Held-out estimates come from cross-validation, with this player outside the training data: the honest comparison. Served models were refitted on every player, this one included, so they sit closer to the market. Shaded band: Model A's typical miss (×1.50 either way).

Player traitspercentiles vs 2,065 defenders

Tobias Salquist's percentiles among defenders: Goals per 90 63rd, Assists per 90 17th, Minutes, two years 31st, Starts 73rd, Minutes, last 365 days 55th, European club minutes 30th63rdGoals17thAssists31stMinutes73rdStarts55thRecent30thEurope

Dashed ring: the defender median (50th percentile)

Starts

Share of appearances started rather than entered from the bench.

91% this player83% defender median73rd percentile

18%peer deciles · median line · this player ●100%

No passing, progression or defensive actions exist in the dataset, so no trait claims to measure them.

Valuation history every Transfermarkt valuation on record

First valuation
€50k
Feb 2015
Peak
€1M
Mar 2024
Model target
€500k
May 2026
Valuations
24
6 club changes
May 2026€500kFC NordsjaellandValuation the model is trained to reproduce

May 2026: €500k, FC Nordsjaelland. Dotted lines mark the €2M, €10M and €30M tier boundaries.

Show as a table
DateMarket valueClub
2015-02-06€50kSilkeborg IF
2015-09-02€50kSilkeborg IF
2016-01-25€100kSilkeborg IF
2016-12-31€125kSilkeborg IF
2017-03-27€100kSilkeborg IF
2017-06-21€150kSilkeborg IF
2017-12-18€250kSilkeborg IF
2018-06-02€300kSilkeborg IF
2018-12-27€300kKVRS Waasland - SK Beveren
2019-12-29€300kLillestrøm SK
2020-12-23€250kHobro IK
2021-06-04€350kSilkeborg IF
2021-10-06€400kSilkeborg IF
2021-12-28€400kSilkeborg IF
2022-06-20€700kSilkeborg IF
2022-12-22€700kSilkeborg IF
2023-06-26€700kSilkeborg IF
2023-12-21€850kSilkeborg IF
2024-03-25€1MChicago Fire FC
2024-06-13€1MChicago Fire FC
2024-12-12€800kChicago Fire FC
2025-06-16€700kFC Nordsjaelland
2025-12-15€600kFC Nordsjaelland
2026-05-25€500kFC Nordsjaelland

Audit context group-level, not about this player

Audit group
UEFA
Population gap, Model A
+0.093 95% CI +0.063 to +0.124
This player, market vs held-out A
−0.054

The group comes from first-listed citizenship and is never a model input. Across the population, non-UEFA players' market values sit about 10% above Model A's held-out estimates, relative to UEFA players in the same leagues. One player's residual says nothing about that pattern (typical miss ×1.50), and none of it is evidence of discrimination: the target may itself be biased. Open the Fairness Audit

In context observed value among comparable players in this build

All players in the Terminal →

Superliga256 players · median €800k

Valued above 25% of the 256 Superliga players.

€20k€150k€1M€7.5M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Defenders, all leagues2,065 players · median €2M

Valued above 19% of the 2,065 defenders.

€20k€200k€2M€20M€500kSee them in the Explorer →

Where Salquist appears

Watchlists and the comparison tray are kept in this browser only.

Near this valuation closest observed values: same league, then same position

Counts and ranks of observed Transfermarkt values only; model errors are never ranked here. Full player export: Every player in the modelling population (D-011).